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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Atlético Baleares v Real Jaén: numbers & prediction

Segunda División RFEF Play Offs · Spain · Estadio Balear

Atlético Baleares

LDWWW
1–0
FTAET 1–2

Real Jaén

WWDWW
Atlético Baleares 42%Draw 27%Real Jaén 31% Expected goals 1.48 – 1.27
56%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.79 · bookmaker 1.91 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.91Odds
2

Value bet: Real Jaén to win @ 3.50 – our chance 31% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultAtlético Baleares to win ✓42% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.26

Atlético Baleares vs Real Jaén: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 31 May the Segunda División RFEF Play Offs brings Atlético Baleares against Real Jaén at Estadio Balear. Kick-off: 18:00 WAT.

Current form

Atlético Baleares, last 5: LDWWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Real Jaén, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.

Real Jaén, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Atlético Baleares, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (24 May 2026) it ended Real Jaén 2–1 Atlético Baleares.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Atlético Baleares 1.5 xG, Real Jaén 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Atlético Baleares 42%, draw 27%, Real Jaén 31%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.91.
  • Price worth noting: Real Jaén to win @3.50 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 31%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.91 – longer than our fair 1.79, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atlético Baleares 1–1 Real Jaén. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Atlético Baleares42%fair 2.39 · @2.05
Draw27%fair 3.69 · @2.80
Real Jaén31%fair 3.23 · @3.50
2.74Expected goals
1.48Atlético Baleares xG
1.27Real Jaén xG
56%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%

From our goals model: Atlético Baleares 1.5 – 1.3 Real Jaén expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAtlético Baleares to win ✓42%2.392.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73%1.371.36
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗56%1.791.91 ▲
Draw no betAtlético Baleares (draw no bet) ✓57%1.74–
Asian handicapReal Jaén +1 (Asian handicap)74%1.35–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76%1.32–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗52%1.94–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓70%1.42–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.17–
First team to scoreAtlético Baleares to score first ✓50%1.99–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.39–
Half-time / full-timeHT Atlético Baleares / FT Atlético Baleares ✓25%4.04–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.26–

Recent results

Atlético Baleares – last 6

LDWWWW
24 May@ Real Jaén1–2L
17 Mayvs Coruxo1–1D
26 Aprvs Terrassa3–1W
19 Apr@ Porreres1–0W
12 Aprvs Andratx5–1W
5 Apr@ Ibiza Islas Pitiusas3–1W
2.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Real Jaén – last 6

WWDWWD
24 Mayvs Atlético Baleares2–1W
17 May@ Deportivo Alavés II1–0W
3 Mayvs Antoniano1–1D
26 Apr@ Ucam Murcia2–1W
15 Marvs Yeclano1–0W
8 Mar@ Linares Deportivo1–1D
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

24 May 2026Real Jaén v Atlético Baleares2–1
Atlético Baleares vs Real Jaén head-to-head page →

More Segunda División RFEF Play Offs predictions

– Poblense0 Águilas0 Pens 4–5 140%2.38X29%2.80231%2.95 1.1–0.9xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 61%@1.60 ✓
FT Real Oviedo II0 CD Coria1 150%1.77X26%3.20225%4.20 1.3–1.0xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 57%@1.60 ✓
FT Conquense0 UD Ourense2 142%2.50X28%2.50229%2.90 1.2–0.8xG NGNot both teams to score 53%@1.62 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Atlético Baleares vs Real Jaén?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.

Who will win Atlético Baleares vs Real Jaén?

On our numbers Atlético Baleares have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Real Jaén 31%.

How many goals will there be in Atlético Baleares vs Real Jaén?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Atlético Baleares vs Real Jaén?

Our predicted score is Atlético Baleares 1–1 Real Jaén, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Atlético Baleares vs Real Jaén?

Atlético Baleares vs Real Jaén (Segunda División RFEF Play Offs) kicks off on Sunday 31 May 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Balear.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.