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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Conquense v UD Ourense: numbers & prediction

Segunda División RFEF Play Offs · Spain · Estadio La Fuensanta

Conquense

LDWWL
0–2
FT

UD Ourense

WDWLW
Conquense 42%Draw 28%UD Ourense 29% Expected goals 1.19 – 0.75
53%
Betarazi pick

Not both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.90 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.62Odds

Picks by market

ResultConquense to win ✗42% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.44
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓69% · fair 1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.86

Conquense vs UD Ourense: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 31 May the Segunda División RFEF Play Offs brings Conquense against UD Ourense at Estadio La Fuensanta. Kick-off: 18:00 WAT.

Current form

Conquense, last 5: LDWWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to UD Ourense, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

UD Ourense, last 5: WDWLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Conquense, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours UD Ourense, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Conquense.

Head to head

When they last met (24 May 2026) it ended UD Ourense 1–0 Conquense.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Conquense 1.2 xG, UD Ourense 0.8 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 69%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Conquense 42%, draw 28%, UD Ourense 29%.
  • GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.62.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (53%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Conquense 1–0 UD Ourense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Conquense42%fair 2.37 · @2.50
Draw28%fair 3.52 · @2.50
UD Ourense29%fair 3.40 · @2.90
1.94Expected goals
1.19Conquense xG
0.75UD Ourense xG
47%Both score
31%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–017%
0–014%
1–113%
0–111%
2–010%
2–18%

From our goals model: Conquense 1.2 – 0.8 UD Ourense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultConquense to win ✗42%2.372.50 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72%1.401.44
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓53%1.901.62
Draw no betConquense (draw no bet) ✗59%1.70–
Asian handicapUD Ourense +1 (Asian handicap) ✓72%1.38–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓58%1.73–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓69%1.44–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓95%1.05–
First team to scoreConquense to score first ✗52%1.91–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓50%1.99–
Half-time / full-timeHT Conquense / FT Conquense ✗27%3.77–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17%5.86–

Recent results

Conquense – last 6

LDWWLD
24 May@ UD Ourense0–1L
17 Mayvs Xerez0–0D
3 May@ Real Madrid III1–0W
26 Aprvs Tenerife II1–0W
19 Apr@ Navalcarnero0–2L
5 Apr@ Orihuela2–2D
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

UD Ourense – last 6

WDWLWD
24 Mayvs Conquense1–0W
3 Mayvs Atlético Astorga1–1D
26 Apr@ Bergantiños3–1W
12 Apr@ Deportivo La Coruña II0–3L
5 Aprvs Gimnástica Segoviana1–0W
29 Mar@ Marino de Luanco0–0D
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

24 May 2026UD Ourense v Conquense1–0
Conquense vs UD Ourense head-to-head page →

More Segunda División RFEF Play Offs predictions

– Poblense0 Águilas0 Pens 4–5 140%2.38X29%2.80231%2.95 1.1–0.9xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 61%@1.60 ✓
FT Real Oviedo II0 CD Coria1 150%1.77X26%3.20225%4.20 1.3–1.0xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 57%@1.60 ✓
FT Atlético Baleares1 Real Jaén0 AET 1–2 142%2.05X27%2.80231%3.50 1.5–1.3xG GGBoth teams to score 56%@1.91 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Conquense vs UD Ourense?

Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win Conquense vs UD Ourense?

On our numbers Conquense have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 28% and UD Ourense 29%.

How many goals will there be in Conquense vs UD Ourense?

We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Conquense vs UD Ourense?

Our predicted score is Conquense 1–0 UD Ourense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.

When is Conquense vs UD Ourense?

Conquense vs UD Ourense (Segunda División RFEF Play Offs) kicks off on Sunday 31 May 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio La Fuensanta.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.