Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.04
Águilas vs Poblense: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 24 May the Segunda División RFEF Play Offs brings Águilas against Poblense at Estadio El Rubial. Kick-off: 11:00 WAT.
Current form
Águilas, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Utebo, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Poblense, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Numancia, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Águilas 1.3 xG, Poblense 1.0 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 48%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Águilas 46%, draw 27%, Poblense 27%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (55%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Águilas 1–1 Poblense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Águilas46%fair 2.15 · @1.85
Draw27%fair 3.74 · @3.30
Poblense27%fair 3.72 · @3.65
2.36Expected goals
1.32Águilas xG
1.04Poblense xG
48%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–19%
2–08%
From our goals model: Águilas 1.3 – 1.0 Poblense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Águilas to win✗
46%
2.15
1.85
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.36
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
–
Draw no bet
Águilas (draw no bet)
63%
1.58
–
Asian handicap
Poblense +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Águilas to score first✗
51%
1.97
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Águilas / FT Águilas✗
25%
4.00
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.04
–
Recent results
Águilas – last 6
WWLWWW
17 May
vs Utebo
2–1
W
3 May
vs Almería II
2–0
W
26 Apr
@ Estepona
1–2
L
12 Apr
@ Melilla
1–0
W
5 Apr
vs Xerez Deportivo
3–0
W
8 Mar
vs Puente Genil
3–1
W
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Poblense – last 6
WWLWWW
17 May
vs Numancia
2–1
W
10 May
@ Numancia
1–0
W
3 May
@ Ibiza Islas Pitiusas
1–3
L
26 Apr
vs Porreres
3–1
W
19 Apr
@ Terrassa
3–2
W
12 Apr
vs Torrent
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Águilas and Poblense.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Águilas vs Poblense?
On our numbers Águilas have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Poblense 27%.
How many goals will there be in Águilas vs Poblense?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Águilas vs Poblense?
Our predicted score is Águilas 1–1 Poblense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Águilas vs Poblense?
Águilas vs Poblense (Segunda División RFEF Play Offs) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio El Rubial.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.