UD Ourense 36%Draw 26%Conquense 38%Expected goals 0.92 – 1.12
81%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultConquense to win ✗38% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 13.38
UD Ourense vs Conquense: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
UD Ourense welcome Conquense to Estadio de O Couto for a Segunda División RFEF Play Offs fixture on Sunday 24 May (16:00 WAT).
Current form
UD Ourense, last 5: DWLWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Atlético Astorga, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Conquense, last 5: DWWLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Xerez, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give UD Ourense 0.9 xG, Conquense 1.1 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – UD Ourense 36%, draw 26%, Conquense 38%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.00.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (81%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: UD Ourense 0–1 Conquense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
UD Ourense36%fair 2.79 · @2.30
Draw26%fair 3.81 · @3.20
Conquense38%fair 2.64 · @2.75
2.04Expected goals
0.92UD Ourense xG
1.12Conquense xG
53%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–115%
1–113%
0–013%
1–012%
0–28%
1–27%
From our goals model: UD Ourense 0.9 – 1.1 Conquense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Conquense to win✗
38%
2.64
2.75
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.36
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Conquense (draw no bet)✗
51%
1.95
–
Asian handicap
UD Ourense +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
63%
1.58
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.60
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.09
1.06
First team to score
Conquense to score first✗
48%
2.10
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Conquense / FT Conquense✗
22%
4.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
7%
13.38
–
Recent results
UD Ourense – last 6
DWLWDW
3 May
vs Atlético Astorga
1–1
D
26 Apr
@ Bergantiños
3–1
W
12 Apr
@ Deportivo La Coruña II
0–3
L
5 Apr
vs Gimnástica Segoviana
1–0
W
29 Mar
@ Marino de Luanco
0–0
D
22 Mar
vs Sámano
3–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Conquense – last 6
DWWLDW
17 May
vs Xerez
0–0
D
3 May
@ Real Madrid III
1–0
W
26 Apr
vs Tenerife II
1–0
W
19 Apr
@ Navalcarnero
0–2
L
5 Apr
@ Orihuela
2–2
D
15 Mar
vs Colonia Moscardó
3–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between UD Ourense and Conquense.
What is the prediction for UD Ourense vs Conquense?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win UD Ourense vs Conquense?
On our numbers UD Ourense have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Conquense 38%.
How many goals will there be in UD Ourense vs Conquense?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for UD Ourense vs Conquense?
Our predicted score is UD Ourense 0–1 Conquense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is UD Ourense vs Conquense?
UD Ourense vs Conquense (Segunda División RFEF Play Offs) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio de O Couto.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Segunda División RFEF Play Offs · Spain · Estadio de O Couto
Águilas0
Poblense0
CD Coria3
Real Oviedo II0
UD Logroñés1
SS Reyes0