Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.42 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.42Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 51% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultColón to win ✗37% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓71% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 13.57
Tacuarembo vs Colón: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
01:00 WAT, Sunday 24 May: Tacuarembo v Colón in the Segunda División. In the table, Tacuarembo are 13th, in the drop zone, on 26 points after 25 matches; Colón are 3rd (among the top four) with 39. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Tacuarembo, last 5: WLLLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Fenix, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.6 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tacuarembo 0.9 xG, Colón 1.1 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tacuarembo 34%, draw 29%, Colón 37%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.15.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tacuarembo 0–1 Colón. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tacuarembo34%fair 2.98 · @2.45
Draw29%fair 3.41 · @2.90
Colón37%fair 2.70 · @2.90
2.04Expected goals
0.95Tacuarembo xG
1.10Colón xG
51%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
1–113%
0–013%
1–012%
0–28%
1–27%
From our goals model: Tacuarembo 0.9 – 1.1 Colón expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Tacuarembo
Colón
Attack vs Segunda División average
-28%
+8%
Goals conceded vs average
+3%
-7%
Our expected goals here
0.87
1.13
Our own ratings from every Segunda División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Colón to win✗
37%
2.70
2.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
71%
1.41
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
2.15 ▲
Draw no bet
Colón (draw no bet)✗
52%
1.91
–
Asian handicap
Tacuarembo +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
1.55
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.42
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.06
–
First team to score
Colón to score first✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Colón / FT Colón✗
22%
4.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
7%
13.57
–
Recent results
Tacuarembo – last 5
WLLLD
17 May
@ Fenix
2–1
W
18 Apr
@ Atenas
0–1
L
13 Apr
vs Sportivo Huracan
0–2
L
5 Apr
@ Fenix
2–3
L
17 Mar
vs La Luz
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Colón – last 2
DW
23 Mar
@ Oriental
0–0
D
13 Mar
@ Paysandu
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tacuarembo and Colón.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Tacuarembo vs Colón?
On our numbers Tacuarembo have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Colón 37%.
How many goals will there be in Tacuarembo vs Colón?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tacuarembo vs Colón?
Our predicted score is Tacuarembo 0–1 Colón, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Tacuarembo vs Colón?
Tacuarembo vs Colón (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
