Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · @1.36
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.81
Kenya vs Eritrea: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Eritrea travel to face Kenya on Saturday 26 September in the Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification, with Nyayo National Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT.
Current form
Kenya, last 3: WDW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Lesotho, at home. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kenya 1.9 xG, Eritrea 0.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 45%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kenya 67%, draw 17%, Eritrea 15%.
GG/NG: NG (55%) at 1.36.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kenya 1–0 Eritrea. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kenya67%fair 1.48 · @1.27
Draw17%fair 5.83 · @5.75
Eritrea15%fair 6.51 · @8.50
2.53Expected goals
1.85Kenya xG
0.68Eritrea xG
45%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Kenya 1.9 – 0.7 Eritrea expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kenya to win✗
67%
1.48
1.27
Double chance
Kenya or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.05
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
1.36
Draw no bet
Kenya (draw no bet)
81%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
Kenya -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.10
First team to score
Kenya to score first✗
67%
1.49
–
Half-time result
Kenya ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kenya / FT Kenya✗
41%
2.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.81
–
Recent results
Kenya – last 3
WDW
7 Jun
vs Lesotho
4–0
W
4 Jun
@ Lesotho
1–1
D
30 Mar
@ Grenada
3–0
W
2.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Eritrea – last 2
WW
31 Mar
@ Eswatini
2–1
W
25 Mar
vs Eswatini
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kenya and Eritrea.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Kenya vs Eritrea?
On our numbers Kenya have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Eritrea 15%.
How many goals will there be in Kenya vs Eritrea?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kenya vs Eritrea?
Our predicted score is Kenya 1–0 Eritrea, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Kenya vs Eritrea?
Kenya vs Eritrea (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Nyayo National Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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