South Africa 63%Draw 21%Guinea 16%Expected goals 1.54 – 0.57
63%
Betarazi pick
South Africa to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.80Odds
Picks by market
ResultSouth Africa to win ✓63% · @1.80
Double chanceSouth Africa or draw ✓84% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.38
South Africa vs Guinea: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 26 September the Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification brings South Africa against Guinea at Orlando Stadium. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT. In the table, South Africa are 1st on 14 points after 6 matches; Guinea are 3rd with 9.
Current form
South Africa, last 5: LWDLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Canada, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Guinea, last 3: LLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Northern Ireland, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours South Africa, collecting 0.8 points per game to 0.3 for Guinea.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give South Africa 1.5 xG, Guinea 0.6 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 65%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – South Africa 63%, draw 21%, Guinea 16%.
Lower-risk option: South Africa or draw (84%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.53.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was South Africa to win (63%, odds 1.80 – longer than our fair 1.58, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: South Africa 1–0 Guinea. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
South Africa63%fair 1.58 · @1.80
Draw21%fair 4.70 · @3.10
Guinea16%fair 6.39 · @4.20
2.12Expected goals
1.54South Africa xG
0.57Guinea xG
46%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–019%
2–014%
0–012%
1–111%
2–18%
3–07%
From our goals model: South Africa 1.5 – 0.6 Guinea expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
South Africa to win✓
63%
1.58
1.80 ▲
Double chance
South Africa or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
1.53
Draw no bet
South Africa (draw no bet)✓
80%
1.25
–
Asian handicap
South Africa -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
65%
1.55
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
1.14
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
1.04
First team to score
South Africa to score first✓
64%
1.56
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT South Africa / FT South Africa✓
37%
2.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
19%
5.38
–
Recent results
South Africa – last 6
LWDLDL
28 Jun
vs Canada
0–1
L
25 Jun
vs South Korea
1–0
W
18 Jun
@ Czechia
1–1
D
11 Jun
@ Mexico
0–2
L
29 May
vs Nicaragua
0–0
D
31 Mar
vs Panama
1–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Guinea – last 3
LLD
4 Jun
@ Northern Ireland
0–1
L
31 Mar
vs Benin
0–1
L
27 Mar
vs Togo
2–2
D
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between South Africa and Guinea.
What is the prediction for South Africa vs Guinea?
Our pick is South Africa to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win South Africa vs Guinea?
On our numbers South Africa have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Guinea 16%.
How many goals will there be in South Africa vs Guinea?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for South Africa vs Guinea?
Our predicted score is South Africa 1–0 Guinea, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is South Africa vs Guinea?
South Africa vs Guinea (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Orlando Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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