Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultPlaza Colonia to win ✗44% · @2.05
Double chancePlaza Colonia or draw ✗72% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.36
Uruguay Montevideo vs Plaza Colonia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Plaza Colonia travel to face Uruguay Montevideo on Saturday 30 May in the Segunda División – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, Uruguay Montevideo are 14th, in the drop zone, on 22 points after 25 matches; Plaza Colonia are 4th (among the top four) with 38. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Uruguay Montevideo, last 5: LLLWD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to La Luz, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Uruguay Montevideo 0.9 xG, Plaza Colonia 1.2 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Uruguay Montevideo 28%, draw 28%, Plaza Colonia 44%.
Lower-risk option: Plaza Colonia or draw (72%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Plaza Colonia or draw (72%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Uruguay Montevideo 0–1 Plaza Colonia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Uruguay Montevideo28%fair 3.56 · @3.55
Draw28%fair 3.56 · @3.00
Plaza Colonia44%fair 2.28 · @2.05
2.16Expected goals
0.93Uruguay Montevideo xG
1.23Plaza Colonia xG
52%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
1–113%
0–012%
1–011%
0–29%
1–28%
From our goals model: Uruguay Montevideo 0.9 – 1.2 Plaza Colonia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Uruguay Montevideo
Plaza Colonia
Attack vs Segunda División average
-21%
+7%
Goals conceded vs average
+14%
-7%
Our expected goals here
0.97
1.24
Our own ratings from every Segunda División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Plaza Colonia to win✗
44%
2.28
2.05
Double chance
Plaza Colonia or draw✗
72%
1.39
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.94
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
Plaza Colonia (draw no bet)✗
61%
1.64
–
Asian handicap
Uruguay Montevideo +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
First team to score
Plaza Colonia to score first✗
50%
1.99
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Plaza Colonia / FT Plaza Colonia✗
25%
4.06
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.36
–
Recent results
Uruguay Montevideo – last 6
LLLWDD
24 May
@ La Luz
0–2
L
9 May
@ Atenas
1–2
L
6 Apr
@ Cerrito
1–2
L
1 Apr
@ Atenas
1–0
W
22 Mar
vs Sportivo Huracan
1–1
D
15 Mar
vs Fenix
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Plaza Colonia – last 2
WD
22 May
vs Oriental
3–1
W
17 Apr
vs Paysandu
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Uruguay Montevideo and Plaza Colonia.
What is the prediction for Uruguay Montevideo vs Plaza Colonia?
Our pick is Plaza Colonia or draw with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Uruguay Montevideo vs Plaza Colonia?
On our numbers Uruguay Montevideo have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Plaza Colonia 44%.
How many goals will there be in Uruguay Montevideo vs Plaza Colonia?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Uruguay Montevideo vs Plaza Colonia?
Our predicted score is Uruguay Montevideo 0–1 Plaza Colonia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Uruguay Montevideo vs Plaza Colonia?
Uruguay Montevideo vs Plaza Colonia (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 30 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
