Paysandu vs Cerrito: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Paysandu welcome Cerrito for a Segunda División fixture on Saturday 30 May (20:00 WAT). In the table, Paysandu are 5th, upper half, on 35 points after 25 matches; Cerrito are 8th (lower half) with 34. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Paysandu, last 4: DLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Plaza Colonia, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Cerrito, last 3: WDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Sportivo Huracan, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Cerrito, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.0 for Paysandu.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Paysandu 1.4 xG, Cerrito 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Paysandu 39%, draw 26%, Cerrito 35%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Paysandu 1–1 Cerrito. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Paysandu39%fair 2.58 · @2.55
Draw26%fair 3.78 · @3.20
Cerrito35%fair 2.88 · @2.55
2.50Expected goals
1.35Paysandu xG
1.15Cerrito xG
56%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: Paysandu 1.4 – 1.1 Cerrito expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Paysandu
Cerrito
Attack vs Segunda División average
+11%
+2%
Goals conceded vs average
-2%
-4%
Our expected goals here
1.40
1.02
Our own ratings from every Segunda División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Paysandu to win✗
39%
2.58
2.55
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.36
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.78
1.80
Draw no bet
Paysandu (draw no bet)✗
53%
1.90
–
Asian handicap
Cerrito +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Paysandu to score first✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Paysandu / FT Paysandu✗
24%
4.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.61
–
Recent results
Paysandu – last 4
DLWL
17 Apr
@ Plaza Colonia
1–1
D
10 Apr
vs Rentistas
0–1
L
27 Mar
vs Miramar
2–0
W
13 Mar
vs Colón
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
25%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Cerrito – last 3
WDW
24 May
vs Sportivo Huracan
2–0
W
19 Apr
vs La Luz
0–0
D
6 Apr
vs Uruguay Montevideo
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Paysandu and Cerrito.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Paysandu vs Cerrito?
On our numbers Paysandu have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Cerrito 35%.
How many goals will there be in Paysandu vs Cerrito?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Paysandu vs Cerrito?
Our predicted score is Paysandu 1–1 Cerrito, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Paysandu vs Cerrito?
Paysandu vs Cerrito (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 30 May 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
