Value bet: Linense to win @ 2.55 – our chance 43% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultLinense to win ✓43% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗69% · @1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.54
Linense vs Marília: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 26 July the Copa Paulista brings Linense against Marília. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT.
Current form
Linense, last 5: DDLLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Bandeirante SP, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game.
Marília, last 5: WLDLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Grêmio Prudente, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Marília, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.4 for Linense.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Linense 1.1 xG, Marília 0.7 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 69%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Linense 43%, draw 27%, Marília 30%.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: Linense to win @2.55 – the bookmaker implies 39%, our ratings say 43%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (69%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: Linense 1–0 Marília. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Linense43%fair 2.31 · @2.55
Draw27%fair 3.71 · @2.88
Marília30%fair 3.36 · @2.80
1.80Expected goals
1.09Linense xG
0.71Marília xG
47%Both score
31%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–018%
0–017%
1–113%
0–112%
2–010%
2–17%
From our goals model: Linense 1.1 – 0.7 Marília expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Linense to win✓
43%
2.31
2.55 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
1.57
Draw no bet
Linense (draw no bet)✓
59%
1.69
–
Asian handicap
Marília +1 (Asian handicap)✗
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
1.57
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
69%
1.44
1.42
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
89%
1.12
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
96%
1.04
–
First team to score
Linense to score first
51%
1.97
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
52%
1.91
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Linense / FT Linense✗
25%
3.99
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.54
–
Recent results
Linense – last 5
DDLLL
18 Jul
@ Bandeirante SP
0–0
D
1 Mar
vs Santo André
1–1
D
25 Feb
@ Sao Bento
0–1
L
22 Feb
vs Grêmio Prudente
0–2
L
18 Feb
vs XV de Piracicaba
0–1
L
0.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
20%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Marília – last 6
WLDLWD
17 Jul
vs Grêmio Prudente
1–0
W
26 Apr
@ Portuguesa Santista
0–2
L
23 Apr
vs Portuguesa Santista
2–2
D
15 Mar
@ XV de Jau
0–1
L
11 Mar
vs USAC
2–0
W
4 Mar
vs Rio Claro
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Linense and Marília.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Linense vs Marília?
On our numbers Linense have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Marília 30%.
How many goals will there be in Linense vs Marília?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Linense vs Marília?
Our predicted score is Linense 1–0 Marília, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Linense vs Marília?
Linense vs Marília (Copa Paulista) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Juventus3
Paulista1
Santo André0
São Caetano0