Santo André vs São Caetano: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
São Caetano travel to face Santo André on Sunday 26 July in the Copa Paulista – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT.
Current form
Santo André, last 5: LDLLD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to EC São Bernardo, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
São Caetano, last 5: LLWWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to São José EC, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours São Caetano, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.4 for Santo André.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Santo André 1.8 xG, São Caetano 0.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Santo André 57%, draw 24%, São Caetano 19%.
Lower-risk option: Santo André or draw (81%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.95.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (72%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: Santo André 2–0 São Caetano. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Santo André57%fair 1.75 · @1.77
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.35
São Caetano19%fair 5.40 · @4.33
2.74Expected goals
1.83Santo André xG
0.91São Caetano xG
53%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–06%
From our goals model: Santo André 1.8 – 0.9 São Caetano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Santo André to win✗
57%
1.75
1.77
Double chance
Santo André or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
1.95
Draw no bet
Santo André (draw no bet)
76%
1.32
–
Asian handicap
São Caetano +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.40
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
First team to score
Santo André to score first✗
62%
1.60
–
Half-time result
Santo André ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Santo André / FT Santo André✗
37%
2.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.16
–
Recent results
Santo André – last 5
LDLLD
19 Jul
@ EC São Bernardo
1–3
L
1 Mar
@ Linense
1–1
D
25 Feb
vs Sertãozinho
1–2
L
22 Feb
vs São José EC
0–3
L
19 Feb
@ Taubaté
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
80%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
São Caetano – last 6
LLWWWD
20 Jul
vs São José EC
1–2
L
28 Mar
@ Grêmio Sãocarlense
1–4
L
25 Mar
@ Colorado Caieiras
4–0
W
18 Mar
@ Tanabi
2–1
W
4 Mar
vs Comercial
2–1
W
25 Feb
vs ECUS
0–0
D
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Santo André and São Caetano.
What is the prediction for Santo André vs São Caetano?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Santo André vs São Caetano?
On our numbers Santo André have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 24% and São Caetano 19%.
How many goals will there be in Santo André vs São Caetano?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Santo André vs São Caetano?
Our predicted score is Santo André 2–0 São Caetano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Santo André vs São Caetano?
Santo André vs São Caetano (Copa Paulista) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Juventus3
Paulista1
Linense3
Marília1