Noroeste 43%Draw 27%XV de Piracicaba 30%Expected goals 1.24 – 0.93
63%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 51% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultNoroeste to win ✓43% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8% · fair 12.29
Noroeste vs XV de Piracicaba: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Noroeste welcome XV de Piracicaba to Estadio Alfredo de Castilho for a Copa Paulista fixture on Sunday 9 August (14:00 WAT).
Current form
Noroeste, last 5: DDLLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with XV de Piracicaba, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
XV de Piracicaba, last 5: DLDDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Noroeste, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (1 Aug 2026) it ended XV de Piracicaba 1–1 Noroeste. The last 2 head-to-heads: Noroeste 0 wins, XV de Piracicaba 0, draws 2. Those games averaged 2.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Noroeste 1.2 xG, XV de Piracicaba 0.9 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Noroeste 43%, draw 27%, XV de Piracicaba 30%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.15.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (63%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Noroeste 1–1 XV de Piracicaba. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Noroeste43%fair 2.32 · @2.15
Draw27%fair 3.69 · @3.10
XV de Piracicaba30%fair 3.35 · @3.20
2.16Expected goals
1.24Noroeste xG
0.93XV de Piracicaba xG
51%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Noroeste 1.2 – 0.9 XV de Piracicaba expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Noroeste vs XV de Piracicaba?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Noroeste vs XV de Piracicaba?
On our numbers Noroeste have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 27% and XV de Piracicaba 30%.
How many goals will there be in Noroeste vs XV de Piracicaba?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Noroeste vs XV de Piracicaba?
Our predicted score is Noroeste 1–1 XV de Piracicaba, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Noroeste vs XV de Piracicaba?
Noroeste vs XV de Piracicaba (Copa Paulista) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Alfredo de Castilho.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Linense5
Grêmio Prudente2
EC São Bernardo2
São Caetano0
Oeste1
Paulista1