Al Zawra'a 46%Draw 29%Naft 26%Expected goals 1.06 – 0.95
61%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.73Odds
Picks by market
ResultAl Zawra'a to win ✗46% · @1.80
Double chanceAl Zawra'a or draw ✗74% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓58% · fair 1.71
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓61% · @1.73
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.04
Al Zawra'a vs Naft: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Al Zawra'a welcome Naft for a Iraqi League fixture on Wednesday 27 May (18:30 WAT). In the table, Al Zawra'a are 6th, upper half, on 21 points after 13 matches; Naft are 3rd (among the top four) with 25.
Current form
Al Zawra'a, last 5: LDWDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Al Quwa Al Jawiya, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Naft, last 5: DDDDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Duhok, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Al Zawra'a, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Naft.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Al Zawra'a 1.1 xG, Naft 1.0 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 61% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Al Zawra'a 46%, draw 29%, Naft 26%.
Lower-risk option: Al Zawra'a or draw (74%) at 1.17.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (61%, odds 1.73 – longer than our fair 1.64, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al Zawra'a 1–0 Naft. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Al Zawra'a46%fair 2.19 · @1.80
Draw29%fair 3.49 · @3.30
Naft26%fair 3.90 · @4.00
2.01Expected goals
1.06Al Zawra'a xG
0.95Naft xG
42%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–013%
0–113%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Al Zawra'a 1.1 – 1.0 Naft expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Zawra'a to win✗
46%
2.19
1.80
Double chance
Al Zawra'a or draw✗
74%
1.35
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
58%
1.71
–
Draw no bet
Al Zawra'a (draw no bet)✗
64%
1.56
–
Asian handicap
Naft +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
60%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.73 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.06
–
First team to score
Al Zawra'a to score first✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
22%
4.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.04
–
Recent results
Al Zawra'a – last 6
LDWDWW
20 May
@ Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1–2
L
14 May
vs Al-Qasim
1–1
D
5 May
@ Al Talaba
1–0
W
1 May
vs Duhok
2–2
D
22 Apr
vs Diyala
2–0
W
13 Apr
@ Al Shorta
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Naft – last 6
DDDDLW
19 May
vs Duhok
1–1
D
14 May
vs Al Minaa Basra
1–1
D
5 May
vs Al-Karma
0–0
D
22 Apr
@ Mosul
0–0
D
14 Apr
vs Erbil
0–2
L
9 Apr
vs Gharraf
1–0
W
0.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Zawra'a and Naft.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Al Zawra'a vs Naft?
On our numbers Al Zawra'a have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Naft 26%.
How many goals will there be in Al Zawra'a vs Naft?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Zawra'a vs Naft?
Our predicted score is Al Zawra'a 1–0 Naft, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Al Zawra'a vs Naft?
Al Zawra'a vs Naft (Iraqi League) kicks off on Wednesday 27 May 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
