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Central Espanol v Racing Montevideo: numbers & prediction

Primera División Apertura · Uruguay · Parque Palermo
Central Espanol 20%Draw 26%Racing Montevideo 54% Expected goals 0.80 – 1.50
80%
Betarazi pick

Racing Montevideo or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultRacing Montevideo to win ✗54% · @1.94
Double chanceRacing Montevideo or draw ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.06

Central Espanol vs Racing Montevideo: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

14:00 WAT, Saturday 6 June: Central Espanol v Racing Montevideo in the Primera División Apertura, played at Parque Palermo. In the table, Central Espanol are 16th, in the drop zone, on 8 points after 13 matches; Racing Montevideo are 6th (upper half) with 19.

Current form

Central Espanol, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Cerro, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Racing Montevideo, last 5: DDWWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Defensor Sporting, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Central Espanol 0.8 xG, Racing Montevideo 1.5 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 51%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Central Espanol 20%, draw 26%, Racing Montevideo 54%.
  • Lower-risk option: Racing Montevideo or draw (80%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.00.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Racing Montevideo or draw (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Central Espanol 0–1 Racing Montevideo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Central Espanol20%fair 5.00 · @3.85
Draw26%fair 3.83 · @3.15
Racing Montevideo54%fair 1.86 · @1.94
2.31Expected goals
0.80Central Espanol xG
1.50Racing Montevideo xG
51%Both score
40%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–115%
1–112%
0–211%
0–010%
1–29%
1–08%

From our goals model: Central Espanol 0.8 – 1.5 Racing Montevideo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Central EspanolRacing Montevideo
Attack vs Primera División Apertura average-31%+9%
Goals conceded vs average+24%-12%
Our expected goals here0.781.45

Our own ratings from every Primera División Apertura result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRacing Montevideo to win ✗54%1.861.94
Double chanceRacing Montevideo or draw ✓80%1.251.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓51%1.942.00
Draw no betRacing Montevideo (draw no bet)73%1.37–
Asian handicapCentral Espanol +1 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓66%1.521.44
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓60%1.671.55
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80%1.261.18
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.09–
First team to scoreRacing Montevideo to score first59%1.70–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓45%2.21–
Half-time / full-timeHT Racing Montevideo / FT Racing Montevideo ✗32%3.09–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.06–

Recent results

Central Espanol – last 6

LWWLWW
24 May@ Cerro0–1L
17 Mayvs Defensor Sporting2–1W
26 Aprvs Cerro3–1W
18 Apr@ Albion FC1–6L
4 Apr@ Club Nacional1–0W
31 Marvs Deportivo Maldonado2–1W
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Racing Montevideo – last 6

DDWWDW
30 Mayvs Defensor Sporting0–0D
22 May@ Liverpool Montevideo0–0D
17 Mayvs Cerro Largo1–0W
29 Mar@ Penarol2–1W
26 Marvs Progreso1–1D
8 Marvs Cerro1–0W
0.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Central Espanol and Racing Montevideo.

Central Espanol vs Racing Montevideo head-to-head page →

Primera División Apertura table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Penarol351997+2465
2Deportivo Maldonado351898+2263
3Atletico Torque3519610+1863
4Club Nacional3519412+1161
5Racing Montevideo3516127+1460
6Liverpool Montevideo3516118+1659
7Wanderers3514912-251
8Albion FC3513814+347
9Juventud35101114-641
10Central Espanol3511816-1341
11Defensor Sporting3591214-839
12Cerro Largo3591016-837
13Boston River3510718-1337
14Cerro3510718-2437
15Progreso3510520-1835
16Danubio3561415-1632

More Primera División Apertura predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Central Espanol vs Racing Montevideo?

Our pick is Racing Montevideo or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Central Espanol vs Racing Montevideo?

On our numbers Central Espanol have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Racing Montevideo 54%.

How many goals will there be in Central Espanol vs Racing Montevideo?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Central Espanol vs Racing Montevideo?

Our predicted score is Central Espanol 0–1 Racing Montevideo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Central Espanol vs Racing Montevideo?

Central Espanol vs Racing Montevideo (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Saturday 6 June 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Parque Palermo.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.