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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Atletico Torque v Deportivo Maldonado: numbers & prediction

Primera División Apertura · Uruguay · Estadio Centenario
Atletico Torque 40%Draw 26%Deportivo Maldonado 35% Expected goals 1.37 – 1.24
74%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultAtletico Torque to win ✗40% · @2.36
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.71

Atletico Torque vs Deportivo Maldonado: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 6 June the Primera División Apertura brings Atletico Torque against Deportivo Maldonado at Estadio Centenario. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, Atletico Torque are 2nd, among the top four, on 28 points after 13 matches; Deportivo Maldonado are 4th (among the top four) with 22.

Current form

Atletico Torque, last 5: WDWWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Albion FC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.

Deportivo Maldonado, last 5: WDWWL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Club Nacional, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (24 Mar 2026) it ended Deportivo Maldonado 1–0 Atletico Torque.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Atletico Torque 1.4 xG, Deportivo Maldonado 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Atletico Torque 40%, draw 26%, Deportivo Maldonado 35%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atletico Torque 1–1 Deportivo Maldonado. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Atletico Torque40%fair 2.53 · @2.36
Draw26%fair 3.88 · @3.30
Deportivo Maldonado35%fair 2.88 · @2.76
2.61Expected goals
1.37Atletico Torque xG
1.24Deportivo Maldonado xG
57%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%

From our goals model: Atletico Torque 1.4 – 1.2 Deportivo Maldonado expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Atletico TorqueDeportivo Maldonado
Attack vs Primera División Apertura average+43%+14%
Goals conceded vs average+2%-23%
Our expected goals here1.421.25

Our own ratings from every Primera División Apertura result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAtletico Torque to win ✗40%2.532.36
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74%1.351.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.761.80
Draw no betAtletico Torque (draw no bet) ✗53%1.88–
Asian handicapDeportivo Maldonado +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.401.35
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗53%1.871.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74%1.351.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗88%1.14–
First team to scoreAtletico Torque to score first49%2.06–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.32–
Half-time / full-timeHT Atletico Torque / FT Atletico Torque ✗23%4.32–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.71–

Recent results

Atletico Torque – last 6

WDWWLW
31 May@ Albion FC2–1W
26 May@ Gremio2–2D
23 May@ Progreso2–1W
19 Mayvs Deportivo Riestra4–1W
16 Mayvs Club Nacional1–2L
6 Mayvs Palestino1–0W
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Deportivo Maldonado – last 6

WDWWLW
31 Mayvs Club Nacional3–0W
24 May@ Wanderers1–1D
18 Mayvs Danubio3–1W
11 Mayvs Boston River2–1W
31 Mar@ Central Espanol1–2L
24 Marvs Atletico Torque1–0W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

24 Mar 2026Deportivo Maldonado v Atletico Torque1–0
Atletico Torque vs Deportivo Maldonado head-to-head page →

Primera División Apertura table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Penarol351997+2465
2Deportivo Maldonado351898+2263
3Atletico Torque3519610+1863
4Club Nacional3519412+1161
5Racing Montevideo3516127+1460
6Liverpool Montevideo3516118+1659
7Wanderers3514912-251
8Albion FC3513814+347
9Juventud35101114-641
10Central Espanol3511816-1341
11Defensor Sporting3591214-839
12Cerro Largo3591016-837
13Boston River3510718-1337
14Cerro3510718-2437
15Progreso3510520-1835
16Danubio3561415-1632

More Primera División Apertura predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Atletico Torque vs Deportivo Maldonado?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Atletico Torque vs Deportivo Maldonado?

On our numbers Atletico Torque have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Deportivo Maldonado 35%.

How many goals will there be in Atletico Torque vs Deportivo Maldonado?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Atletico Torque vs Deportivo Maldonado?

Our predicted score is Atletico Torque 1–1 Deportivo Maldonado, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Atletico Torque vs Deportivo Maldonado?

Atletico Torque vs Deportivo Maldonado (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Saturday 6 June 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Centenario.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.