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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Vasco DA Gama v Fluminense: numbers & prediction

Copa Do Brasil · Brazil

Vasco DA Gama

WDDLL
0–0
FT

Fluminense

DDDWD
Vasco DA Gama 35%Draw 26%Fluminense 38% Expected goals 1.22 – 1.18
78%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1

Value bet: Vasco DA Gama to win @ 3.30 – our chance 35% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultFluminense to win ✗38% · @2.18
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 13.02

Vasco DA Gama vs Fluminense: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

21:30 WAT, Saturday 1 August: Vasco DA Gama v Fluminense in the Copa Do Brasil.

Current form

Vasco DA Gama, last 5: WDDLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Independiente Medellin, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Fluminense, last 5: DDDWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Bahia, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (19 Mar 2026) it ended Vasco DA Gama 3–2 Fluminense. The last 2 head-to-heads: Vasco DA Gama 1 win, Fluminense 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Vasco DA Gama 1.2 xG, Fluminense 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Vasco DA Gama 35%, draw 26%, Fluminense 38%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.95.
  • Price worth noting: Vasco DA Gama to win @3.30 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 35%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vasco DA Gama 1–1 Fluminense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Vasco DA Gama35%fair 2.85 · @3.30
Draw26%fair 3.77 · @3.25
Fluminense38%fair 2.61 · @2.18
2.40Expected goals
1.22Vasco DA Gama xG
1.18Fluminense xG
56%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–011%
0–111%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%

From our goals model: Vasco DA Gama 1.2 – 1.2 Fluminense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFluminense to win ✗38%2.612.18
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74%1.361.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗56%1.791.95 ▲
Draw no betFluminense (draw no bet)52%1.92–
Asian handicapFluminense +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗68%1.461.40
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓57%1.751.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78%1.291.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.121.06
First team to scoreVasco DA Gama to score first ✗46%2.16–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓45%2.21–
Half-time / full-timeHT Vasco DA Gama / FT Vasco DA Gama ✗21%4.70–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%13.02–

Recent results

Vasco DA Gama – last 6

WDDLLW
29 Julvs Independiente Medellin1–0W
26 Julvs Mirassol1–1D
22 Jul@ Independiente Medellin2–2D
16 Jul@ Vitoria0–1L
31 Mayvs Atletico-MG0–1L
27 Mayvs Barracas Central3–0W
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Fluminense – last 6

DDDWDW
30 Julvs Bahia0–0D
26 Jul@ Gremio1–1D
18 Julvs RB Bragantino1–1D
12 Julvs Bahia2–0W
1 Jun@ Cruzeiro1–1D
28 Mayvs Deportivo La Guaira3–1W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

19 Mar 2026Vasco DA Gama v Fluminense3–2
22 Feb 2026Vasco DA Gama v Fluminense0–1
Vasco DA Gama vs Fluminense head-to-head page →

More Copa Do Brasil predictions

League hub
FT Atletico-MG0 Juventude0 156%1.47X26%3.95218%7.40 1.6–1.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.25 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Vasco DA Gama vs Fluminense?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Vasco DA Gama vs Fluminense?

On our numbers Vasco DA Gama have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Fluminense 38%.

How many goals will there be in Vasco DA Gama vs Fluminense?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Vasco DA Gama vs Fluminense?

Our predicted score is Vasco DA Gama 1–1 Fluminense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Vasco DA Gama vs Fluminense?

Vasco DA Gama vs Fluminense (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.