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Cruzeiro v Chapecoense-sc: numbers & prediction

Copa Do Brasil · Brazil
2–0
FT
Cruzeiro 68%Draw 20%Chapecoense-sc 12% Expected goals 1.90 – 0.66
74%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultCruzeiro to win ✓68% · @1.36
Double chanceCruzeiro or draw ✓88% · @1.05
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.83

Cruzeiro vs Chapecoense-sc: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

23:00 WAT, Wednesday 5 August: Cruzeiro v Chapecoense-sc in the Copa Do Brasil.

Current form

Cruzeiro, last 5: DWLWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Chapecoense-sc, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Chapecoense-sc, last 5: DDLLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Cruzeiro, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours Cruzeiro, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.5 for Chapecoense-sc.

Head to head

When they last met (2 Aug 2026) it ended Chapecoense-sc 0–0 Cruzeiro. The last 2 head-to-heads: Cruzeiro 1 win, Chapecoense-sc 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 1.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Cruzeiro 1.9 xG, Chapecoense-sc 0.7 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 50%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Cruzeiro 68%, draw 20%, Chapecoense-sc 12%.
  • GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.70.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cruzeiro 2–0 Chapecoense-sc. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Cruzeiro68%fair 1.47 · @1.36
Draw20%fair 5.06 · @4.75
Chapecoense-sc12%fair 8.16 · @8.00
2.56Expected goals
1.90Cruzeiro xG
0.66Chapecoense-sc xG
50%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–08%

From our goals model: Cruzeiro 1.9 – 0.7 Chapecoense-sc expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCruzeiro to win ✓68%1.471.36
Double chanceCruzeiro or draw ✓88%1.141.05
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓50%2.001.70
Draw no betCruzeiro (draw no bet) ✓85%1.18–
Asian handicapCruzeiro -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.49–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.361.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓50%2.002.00
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓71%1.401.38
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.171.14
First team to scoreCruzeiro to score first ✓68%1.46–
Half-time resultCruzeiro ahead at half-time ✓47%2.13–
Half-time / full-timeHT Cruzeiro / FT Cruzeiro ✓43%2.34–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15%6.83–

Recent results

Cruzeiro – last 6

DWLWLW
2 Aug@ Chapecoense-sc0–0D
31 Jul@ Coritiba1–0W
26 Julvs Botafogo0–1L
23 Jul@ Internacional2–1W
12 Jul@ Gremio1–3L
4 Julvs Defensor Sporting2–0W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Chapecoense-sc – last 6

DDLLLD
2 Augvs Cruzeiro0–0D
25 Jul@ Santos2–2D
23 Julvs Flamengo0–4L
17 Jul@ Bahia0–2L
4 Jun@ Avai0–3L
27 Mayvs Novorizontino2–2D
0.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

2 Aug 2026Chapecoense-sc v Cruzeiro0–0
24 May 2026Cruzeiro v Chapecoense-sc2–1
Cruzeiro vs Chapecoense-sc head-to-head page →

More Copa Do Brasil predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Cruzeiro vs Chapecoense-sc?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Cruzeiro vs Chapecoense-sc?

On our numbers Cruzeiro have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Chapecoense-sc 12%.

How many goals will there be in Cruzeiro vs Chapecoense-sc?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Cruzeiro vs Chapecoense-sc?

Our predicted score is Cruzeiro 2–0 Chapecoense-sc, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Cruzeiro vs Chapecoense-sc?

Cruzeiro vs Chapecoense-sc (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Wednesday 5 August 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.