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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Gremio v Mirassol: numbers & prediction

Copa Do Brasil · Brazil

Gremio

DLDLL
1–0
FT

Mirassol

DWDWL
Gremio 45%Draw 27%Mirassol 28% Expected goals 1.31 – 0.96
66%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.45 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.45Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 54% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultGremio to win ✓45% · @1.96
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.76

Gremio vs Mirassol: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Mirassol travel to face Gremio on Wednesday 5 August in the Copa Do Brasil – the ball rolls at 23:30 WAT.

Current form

Gremio, last 5: DLDLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Mirassol, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Mirassol, last 5: DWDWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Gremio, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (2 Aug 2026) it ended Mirassol 1–1 Gremio. The last 2 head-to-heads: Gremio 0 wins, Mirassol 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.5 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Gremio 1.3 xG, Mirassol 1.0 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Gremio 45%, draw 27%, Mirassol 28%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.10.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 54%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (66%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gremio 1–1 Mirassol. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Gremio45%fair 2.21 · @1.96
Draw27%fair 3.66 · @3.20
Mirassol28%fair 3.63 · @4.00
2.27Expected goals
1.31Gremio xG
0.96Mirassol xG
54%Both score
39%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
1–113%
0–010%
0–110%
2–09%
2–19%

From our goals model: Gremio 1.3 – 1.0 Mirassol expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGremio to win ✓45%2.211.96
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73%1.381.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗54%1.872.10 ▲
Draw no betGremio (draw no bet) ✓62%1.61–
Asian handicapMirassol +1 (Asian handicap)73%1.37–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗66%1.521.45
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓61%1.651.55
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80%1.251.18
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.101.05
First team to scoreGremio to score first ✓52%1.94–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗46%2.16–
Half-time / full-timeHT Gremio / FT Gremio ✓26%3.87–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.76–

Recent results

Gremio – last 6

DLDLLW
2 Aug@ Mirassol1–1D
30 Julvs Bolívar0–1L
26 Julvs Fluminense1–1D
23 Jul@ Bolívar2–3L
18 Jul@ Mirassol1–2L
12 Julvs Cruzeiro3–1W
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Mirassol – last 6

DWDWLL
2 Augvs Gremio1–1D
29 Julvs Remo2–1W
26 Jul@ Vasco DA Gama1–1D
18 Julvs Gremio2–1W
30 May@ Atletico Paranaense0–1L
26 May@ Lanus0–1L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

2 Aug 2026Mirassol v Gremio1–1
18 Jul 2026Mirassol v Gremio2–1
Gremio vs Mirassol head-to-head page →

More Copa Do Brasil predictions

League hub
FT Remo0 Santos1 131%2.98X26%3.15243%2.42 1.0–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 79%@1.22 ✓
FT Cruzeiro2 Chapecoense-sc0 168%1.36X20%4.75212%8.00 1.9–0.7xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.25 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Gremio vs Mirassol?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.

Who will win Gremio vs Mirassol?

On our numbers Gremio have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Mirassol 28%.

How many goals will there be in Gremio vs Mirassol?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Gremio vs Mirassol?

Our predicted score is Gremio 1–1 Mirassol, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Gremio vs Mirassol?

Gremio vs Mirassol (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Wednesday 5 August 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.