Fluminense 43%Draw 28%Vasco DA Gama 30%Expected goals 1.17 – 0.94
64%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultFluminense to win ✗43% · @2.16
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗82% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.81
Fluminense vs Vasco DA Gama: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 6 August the Copa Do Brasil brings Fluminense against Vasco DA Gama. Kick-off: 01:30 WAT.
Current form
Fluminense, last 5: DDDDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Vasco DA Gama, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Vasco DA Gama, last 5: DWDDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Fluminense, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Head to head
When they last met (1 Aug 2026) it ended Vasco DA Gama 0–0 Fluminense. The last 3 head-to-heads: Fluminense 1 win, Vasco DA Gama 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Fluminense 1.2 xG, Vasco DA Gama 0.9 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Fluminense 43%, draw 28%, Vasco DA Gama 30%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (64%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fluminense 1–0 Vasco DA Gama. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Fluminense43%fair 2.34 · @2.16
Draw28%fair 3.61 · @3.00
Vasco DA Gama30%fair 3.38 · @3.60
2.11Expected goals
1.17Fluminense xG
0.94Vasco DA Gama xG
52%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–012%
0–111%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Fluminense 1.2 – 0.9 Vasco DA Gama expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Fluminense vs Vasco DA Gama?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Fluminense vs Vasco DA Gama?
On our numbers Fluminense have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Vasco DA Gama 30%.
How many goals will there be in Fluminense vs Vasco DA Gama?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fluminense vs Vasco DA Gama?
Our predicted score is Fluminense 1–0 Vasco DA Gama, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Fluminense vs Vasco DA Gama?
Fluminense vs Vasco DA Gama (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Thursday 6 August 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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