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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Fortaleza EC v Palmeiras: numbers & prediction

Copa Do Brasil · Brazil

Fortaleza EC

LWLWL
3–2
FT

Palmeiras

WWLWW
Fortaleza EC 20%Draw 26%Palmeiras 55% Expected goals 0.90 – 1.64
80%
Betarazi pick

Palmeiras or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultPalmeiras to win ✗55% · @1.77
Double chancePalmeiras or draw ✗80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.47

Fortaleza EC vs Palmeiras: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Fortaleza EC welcome Palmeiras for a Copa Do Brasil fixture on Thursday 6 August (01:30 WAT).

Current form

Fortaleza EC, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Palmeiras, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Palmeiras, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Fortaleza EC, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 3.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Palmeiras, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.5 for Fortaleza EC.

Head to head

When they last met (2 Aug 2026) it ended Palmeiras 3–0 Fortaleza EC.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Fortaleza EC 0.9 xG, Palmeiras 1.6 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 50%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Fortaleza EC 20%, draw 26%, Palmeiras 55%.
  • Lower-risk option: Palmeiras or draw (80%) at 1.20.
  • GG/NG: GG (50%) at 1.90.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Palmeiras or draw (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fortaleza EC 0–1 Palmeiras. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Fortaleza EC20%fair 5.12 · @4.45
Draw26%fair 3.91 · @3.60
Palmeiras55%fair 1.82 · @1.77
2.54Expected goals
0.90Fortaleza EC xG
1.64Palmeiras xG
50%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–113%
1–112%
0–211%
1–210%
0–08%
1–07%

From our goals model: Fortaleza EC 0.9 – 1.6 Palmeiras expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPalmeiras to win ✗55%1.821.77
Double chancePalmeiras or draw ✗80%1.241.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓50%1.991.90
Draw no betPalmeiras (draw no bet) ✗74%1.36–
Asian handicapFortaleza EC +1 (Asian handicap) ✓60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72%1.401.33
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗53%1.891.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74%1.351.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗88%1.141.09
First team to scorePalmeiras to score first60%1.68–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.34–
Half-time / full-timeHT Palmeiras / FT Palmeiras ✗34%2.98–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.47–

Recent results

Fortaleza EC – last 6

LWLWLW
2 Aug@ Palmeiras0–3L
29 Julvs Botafogo SP1–0W
22 Jul@ Vila Nova1–2L
18 Julvs Novorizontino1–0W
12 Jul@ Atletico Goianiense0–1L
3 Julvs Ponte Preta2–0W
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Palmeiras – last 6

WWLWWW
2 Augvs Fortaleza EC3–0W
30 Jul@ Vitoria4–0W
26 Julvs Atletico-MG1–2L
22 Jul@ Coritiba3–1W
28 Mayvs Junior4–1W
24 May@ Flamengo3–0W
3.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

2 Aug 2026Palmeiras v Fortaleza EC3–0
Fortaleza EC vs Palmeiras head-to-head page →

More Copa Do Brasil predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Fortaleza EC vs Palmeiras?

Our pick is Palmeiras or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Fortaleza EC vs Palmeiras?

On our numbers Fortaleza EC have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Palmeiras 55%.

How many goals will there be in Fortaleza EC vs Palmeiras?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Fortaleza EC vs Palmeiras?

Our predicted score is Fortaleza EC 0–1 Palmeiras, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Fortaleza EC vs Palmeiras?

Fortaleza EC vs Palmeiras (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Thursday 6 August 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.