Value bet: Capivariano U20 to win @ 3.10 – our chance 39% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCapivariano U20 to win ✗39% · @3.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.30
Capivariano U20 vs Ituano U20: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 3 July the Paulista U20 brings Capivariano U20 against Ituano U20. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, Capivariano U20 are 4th, among the top four, on 4 points after 2 matches; Ituano U20 are 3rd (among the top four) with 4. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Capivariano U20, last 4: LDWD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to RB Bragantino U20, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Ituano U20, last 3: DWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Referencia U20, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Capivariano U20 1.4 xG, Ituano U20 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 46%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Capivariano U20 39%, draw 25%, Ituano U20 36%.
Price worth noting: Capivariano U20 to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (54%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Capivariano U20 1–1 Ituano U20. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Capivariano U2039%fair 2.55 · @3.10
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.40
Ituano U2036%fair 2.76 · @2.05
2.42Expected goals
1.35Capivariano U20 xG
1.07Ituano U20 xG
46%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–19%
0–09%
2–19%
2–08%
From our goals model: Capivariano U20 1.4 – 1.1 Ituano U20 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Capivariano U20 to win✗
39%
2.55
3.10 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.33
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
–
Draw no bet
Capivariano U20 (draw no bet)
52%
1.93
–
Asian handicap
Ituano U20 +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Capivariano U20 to score first
51%
1.96
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Capivariano U20 / FT Capivariano U20✗
25%
3.95
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.30
–
Recent results
Capivariano U20 – last 4
LDWD
28 Jun
@ RB Bragantino U20
1–3
L
12 Jun
@ XV de Jaú U20
0–0
D
5 Jun
vs Sfera U20
2–1
W
29 May
@ Osasco Audax U20
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Ituano U20 – last 3
DWD
12 Jun
vs Referencia U20
1–1
D
5 Jun
vs Osasco Audax U20
1–0
W
29 May
@ Tanabi SP U20
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Capivariano U20 and Ituano U20.
What is the prediction for Capivariano U20 vs Ituano U20?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Capivariano U20 vs Ituano U20?
On our numbers Capivariano U20 have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Ituano U20 36%.
How many goals will there be in Capivariano U20 vs Ituano U20?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Capivariano U20 vs Ituano U20?
Our predicted score is Capivariano U20 1–1 Ituano U20, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Capivariano U20 vs Ituano U20?
Capivariano U20 vs Ituano U20 (Paulista U20) kicks off on Friday 3 July 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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