Value bet: Osasco Audax U20 to win @ 2.70 – our chance 40% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultOsasco Audax U20 to win ✗40% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.87
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.37
Osasco Audax U20 vs Água Santa U20: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:00 WAT, Friday 3 July: Osasco Audax U20 v Água Santa U20 in the Paulista U20. In the table, Osasco Audax U20 are 10th, lower half, on 1 points after 2 matches; Água Santa U20 are 1st (leading the league) with 6.
Current form
Osasco Audax U20, last 4: WLLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Porto Football U20, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Água Santa U20, last 4: LDWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Flamengo SP U20, at home. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Água Santa U20, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for Osasco Audax U20.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Osasco Audax U20 1.4 xG, Água Santa U20 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 47%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Osasco Audax U20 40%, draw 24%, Água Santa U20 35%.
Price worth noting: Osasco Audax U20 to win @2.70 – the bookmaker implies 37%, our ratings say 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (51%, odds 2.00 – longer than our fair 1.95, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Osasco Audax U20 1–1 Água Santa U20. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Osasco Audax U2040%fair 2.49 · @2.70
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.40
Água Santa U2035%fair 2.82 · @2.20
2.46Expected goals
1.40Osasco Audax U20 xG
1.06Água Santa U20 xG
47%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–19%
2–19%
0–09%
2–08%
From our goals model: Osasco Audax U20 1.4 – 1.1 Água Santa U20 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Osasco Audax U20
Água Santa U20
Attack vs Paulista U20 average
+2%
-10%
Goals conceded vs average
-17%
+11%
Our expected goals here
1.65
0.92
Our own ratings from every Paulista U20 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Osasco Audax U20 to win✗
40%
2.49
2.70 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.87
–
Draw no bet
Osasco Audax U20 (draw no bet)
53%
1.88
–
Asian handicap
Água Santa U20 +1 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.95
2.00
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
77%
1.31
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.12
–
First team to score
Osasco Audax U20 to score first
52%
1.92
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Osasco Audax U20 / FT Osasco Audax U20✗
26%
3.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.37
–
Recent results
Osasco Audax U20 – last 4
WLLD
26 Jun
vs Porto Football U20
1–0
W
13 Jun
@ Palmeiras U20
0–2
L
5 Jun
@ Ituano U20
0–1
L
29 May
vs Capivariano U20
0–0
D
0.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Água Santa U20 – last 4
LDWW
26 Jun
vs Flamengo SP U20
1–2
L
12 Jun
@ Mauá U20
1–1
D
5 Jun
@ Referencia U20
2–1
W
31 May
vs XV de Jaú U20
4–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Osasco Audax U20 and Água Santa U20.
What is the prediction for Osasco Audax U20 vs Água Santa U20?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Osasco Audax U20 vs Água Santa U20?
On our numbers Osasco Audax U20 have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Água Santa U20 35%.
How many goals will there be in Osasco Audax U20 vs Água Santa U20?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Osasco Audax U20 vs Água Santa U20?
Our predicted score is Osasco Audax U20 1–1 Água Santa U20, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Osasco Audax U20 vs Água Santa U20?
Osasco Audax U20 vs Água Santa U20 (Paulista U20) kicks off on Friday 3 July 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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