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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Coimbra v Villa Nova: numbers & prediction

Mineiro 2 · Brazil

Coimbra

LDLDL
2–1
FT

Villa Nova

WLWWW
Coimbra 36%Draw 27%Villa Nova 37% Expected goals 1.22 – 1.34
57%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.76 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.53Odds
2

Value bet: Villa Nova to win @ 3.00 – our chance 37% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultVilla Nova to win ✗37% · @3.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.67

Coimbra vs Villa Nova: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Villa Nova travel to face Coimbra on Wednesday 1 July in the Mineiro 2 – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT.

Current form

Coimbra, last 5: LDLDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Democrata SL, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Villa Nova, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 6–0 win over Ipatinga, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.

Momentum favours Villa Nova, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.4 for Coimbra.

Head to head

When they last met (13 Jun 2026) it ended Villa Nova 3–2 Coimbra.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Coimbra 1.2 xG, Villa Nova 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 48%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Coimbra 36%, draw 27%, Villa Nova 37%.
  • Price worth noting: Villa Nova to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 37%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (57%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Coimbra 1–1 Villa Nova. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Coimbra36%fair 2.79 · @2.30
Draw27%fair 3.65 · @2.90
Villa Nova37%fair 2.72 · @3.00
2.56Expected goals
1.22Coimbra xG
1.34Villa Nova xG
48%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–110%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–08%

From our goals model: Coimbra 1.2 – 1.3 Villa Nova expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultVilla Nova to win ✗37%2.723.00 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73%1.381.30
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗52%1.91–
Draw no betVilla Nova (draw no bet) ✗51%1.97–
Asian handicapCoimbra +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.38–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗57%1.761.53
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74%1.34–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.13–
First team to scoreVilla Nova to score first ✓48%2.07–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.30–
Half-time / full-timeHT Villa Nova / FT Villa Nova ✗23%4.36–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10%9.67–

Recent results

Coimbra – last 5

LDLDL
27 Jun@ Democrata SL0–1L
24 Junvs Aymorés0–0D
20 Jun@ Aymorés1–3L
17 Junvs Democrata SL1–1D
13 Jun@ Villa Nova2–3L
0.8Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5

Villa Nova – last 6

WLWWWL
27 Junvs Ipatinga6–0W
24 Jun@ Democrata SL0–1L
21 Junvs Democrata SL2–1W
17 Jun@ Ipatinga1–0W
13 Junvs Coimbra3–2W
6 Jun@ Aymorés1–2L
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

13 Jun 2026Villa Nova v Coimbra3–2
Coimbra vs Villa Nova head-to-head page →

More Mineiro 2 predictions

FT Caldense1 CAP2 140%2.10X29%2.80231%3.60 1.1–0.9xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 67%@1.40 ✗
FT Mamoré2 Guarani MG2 140%2.15X27%3.00233%3.20 1.2–1.0xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 64%@1.44 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Coimbra vs Villa Nova?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win Coimbra vs Villa Nova?

On our numbers Coimbra have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Villa Nova 37%.

How many goals will there be in Coimbra vs Villa Nova?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Coimbra vs Villa Nova?

Our predicted score is Coimbra 1–1 Villa Nova, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Coimbra vs Villa Nova?

Coimbra vs Villa Nova (Mineiro 2) kicks off on Wednesday 1 July 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.