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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Caldense v CAP: numbers & prediction

Mineiro 2 · Brazil

Caldense

LDDDW
1–2
FT

CAP

LDWDD
Caldense 40%Draw 29%CAP 31% Expected goals 1.07 – 0.93
67%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.40Odds
2

Value bet: CAP to win @ 3.60 – our chance 31% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultCaldense to win ✗40% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓71% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · fair 1.80
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗67% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 6.90

Caldense vs CAP: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

23:00 WAT, Wednesday 1 July: Caldense v CAP in the Mineiro 2.

Current form

Caldense, last 5: LDDDW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Guarani MG, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

CAP, last 5: LDWDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Uberaba, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Head to head

When they last met (14 Jun 2026) it ended CAP 1–1 Caldense.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Caldense 1.1 xG, CAP 0.9 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Caldense 40%, draw 29%, CAP 31%.
  • Price worth noting: CAP to win @3.60 – the bookmaker implies 28%, our ratings say 31%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Caldense 1–0 CAP. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Caldense40%fair 2.48 · @2.10
Draw29%fair 3.48 · @2.80
CAP31%fair 3.23 · @3.60
2.00Expected goals
1.07Caldense xG
0.93CAP xG
44%Both score
33%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
0–014%
1–113%
0–113%
2–08%
2–17%

From our goals model: Caldense 1.1 – 0.9 CAP expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCaldense to win ✗40%2.482.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓71%1.401.33
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗56%1.80–
Draw no betCaldense (draw no bet) ✗57%1.77–
Asian handicapCAP +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓59%1.68–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗67%1.491.40
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓86%1.17–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓95%1.06–
First team to scoreCaldense to score first ✓46%2.16–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗50%2.01–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗22%4.60–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14%6.90–

Recent results

Caldense – last 6

LDDDWL
27 Jun@ Guarani MG0–2L
20 Junvs Mamoré0–0D
17 Junvs Guarani MG0–0D
14 Jun@ CAP1–1D
7 Junvs BOA1–0W
30 May@ Uberaba0–2L
0.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

CAP – last 6

LDWDDL
28 Junvs Uberaba0–1L
25 Junvs BOA0–0D
21 Jun@ BOA2–0W
17 Jun@ Uberaba1–1D
14 Junvs Caldense1–1D
30 Mayvs Mamoré1–3L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

14 Jun 2026CAP v Caldense1–1
Caldense vs CAP head-to-head page →

More Mineiro 2 predictions

FT Coimbra2 Villa Nova1 136%2.30X27%2.90237%3.00 1.2–1.3xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 57%@1.53 ✗
FT Mamoré2 Guarani MG2 140%2.15X27%3.00233%3.20 1.2–1.0xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 64%@1.44 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Caldense vs CAP?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Caldense vs CAP?

On our numbers Caldense have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 29% and CAP 31%.

How many goals will there be in Caldense vs CAP?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Caldense vs CAP?

Our predicted score is Caldense 1–0 CAP, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Caldense vs CAP?

Caldense vs CAP (Mineiro 2) kicks off on Wednesday 1 July 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.