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Estudiantes L.P. v U. Catolica: numbers & prediction

CONMEBOL Libertadores · South America · Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi
1–1
FT
Estudiantes L.P. 51%Draw 26%U. Catolica 22% Expected goals 1.36 – 0.96
66%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.48Odds

Picks by market

ResultEstudiantes L.P. to win ✗51% · @1.65
Double chanceEstudiantes L.P. or draw ✓78% · @1.14
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.49

Estudiantes L.P. vs U. Catolica: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

01:30 WAT, Wednesday 12 August: Estudiantes L.P. v U. Catolica in the CONMEBOL Libertadores, played at Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi. In the table, Estudiantes L.P. are 2nd on 9 points after 6 matches; U. Catolica are 1st with 13.

Current form

Estudiantes L.P., last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Deportivo Riestra, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

U. Catolica, last 5: WLDLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Cobresal, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Estudiantes L.P. 1.4 xG, U. Catolica 1.0 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 49%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Estudiantes L.P. 51%, draw 26%, U. Catolica 22%.
  • Lower-risk option: Estudiantes L.P. or draw (78%) at 1.14.
  • GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.55.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (66%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Estudiantes L.P. 1–1 U. Catolica. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Estudiantes L.P.51%fair 1.95 · @1.65
Draw26%fair 3.79 · @3.50
U. Catolica22%fair 4.47 · @5.70
2.32Expected goals
1.36Estudiantes L.P. xG
0.96U. Catolica xG
49%Both score
40%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
1–113%
0–010%
0–19%
2–09%
2–19%

From our goals model: Estudiantes L.P. 1.4 – 1.0 U. Catolica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultEstudiantes L.P. to win ✗51%1.951.65
Double chanceEstudiantes L.P. or draw ✓78%1.291.14
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗51%1.981.55
Draw no betEstudiantes L.P. (draw no bet)70%1.44–
Asian handicapU. Catolica +1 (Asian handicap) ✓71%1.40–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓66%1.531.48
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓60%1.661.53
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80%1.251.18
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.101.05
First team to scoreEstudiantes L.P. to score first ✓53%1.89–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗46%2.19–
Half-time / full-timeHT Estudiantes L.P. / FT Estudiantes L.P. ✗27%3.72–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13%7.49–

Recent results

Estudiantes L.P. – last 6

LLWLWW
8 Aug@ Deportivo Riestra0–2L
5 Aug@ Boca Juniors0–1L
1 Augvs Defensa Y Justicia3–0W
26 Julvs Independiente0–2L
31 Mayvs Rosario Central3–0W
27 Mayvs Independiente Medellin1–0W
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

U. Catolica – last 6

WLDLWW
8 Augvs Cobresal2–0W
2 Aug@ Concepción0–3L
26 Julvs D. La Serena3–3D
11 Jul@ San Luis0–4L
5 Julvs Deportes Copiapo2–1W
1 Julvs Everton de Vina2–1W
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Estudiantes L.P. and U. Catolica.

Estudiantes L.P. vs U. Catolica head-to-head page →

CONMEBOL Libertadores table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Flamengo6510+1216
2Estudiantes L.P.6231+19
3Independiente Medellin6213-57
4Cusco6015-81

More CONMEBOL Libertadores predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Estudiantes L.P. vs U. Catolica?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.

Who will win Estudiantes L.P. vs U. Catolica?

On our numbers Estudiantes L.P. have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 26% and U. Catolica 22%.

How many goals will there be in Estudiantes L.P. vs U. Catolica?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Estudiantes L.P. vs U. Catolica?

Our predicted score is Estudiantes L.P. 1–1 U. Catolica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Estudiantes L.P. vs U. Catolica?

Estudiantes L.P. vs U. Catolica (CONMEBOL Libertadores) kicks off on Wednesday 12 August 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.