Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.90
Palmeiras vs Cerro Porteno: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Cerro Porteno travel to face Palmeiras on Wednesday 12 August in the CONMEBOL Libertadores, with Nubank Parque the venue – the ball rolls at 23:00 WAT. In the table, Palmeiras are 2nd on 11 points after 6 matches; Cerro Porteno are 1st with 13. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Palmeiras, last 5: DLWWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Internacional, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Cerro Porteno, last 5: LWLLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Sportivo Ameliano, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (21 May 2026) it ended Palmeiras 0–1 Cerro Porteno. The last 2 head-to-heads: Palmeiras 0 wins, Cerro Porteno 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 1.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Palmeiras 1.7 xG, Cerro Porteno 0.6 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 49%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Palmeiras 68%, draw 21%, Cerro Porteno 11%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Palmeiras 1–0 Cerro Porteno. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Palmeiras68%fair 1.47 · @1.32
Draw21%fair 4.87 · @5.10
Cerro Porteno11%fair 8.75 · @8.60
2.33Expected goals
1.74Palmeiras xG
0.59Cerro Porteno xG
49%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
2–015%
1–110%
0–010%
2–19%
3–09%
From our goals model: Palmeiras 1.7 – 0.6 Cerro Porteno expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Palmeiras vs Cerro Porteno?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Palmeiras vs Cerro Porteno?
On our numbers Palmeiras have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Cerro Porteno 11%.
How many goals will there be in Palmeiras vs Cerro Porteno?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Palmeiras vs Cerro Porteno?
Our predicted score is Palmeiras 1–0 Cerro Porteno, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Palmeiras vs Cerro Porteno?
Palmeiras vs Cerro Porteno (CONMEBOL Libertadores) kicks off on Wednesday 12 August 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Nubank Parque.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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