Mirassol 61%Draw 22%LDU de Quito 17%Expected goals 1.53 – 0.64
80%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultMirassol to win ✗61% · @1.73
Double chanceMirassol or draw ✓83% · @1.15
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.76
Mirassol vs LDU de Quito: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Mirassol welcome LDU de Quito to Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia for a CONMEBOL Libertadores fixture on Thursday 13 August (23:00 WAT). In the table, Mirassol are 2nd on 12 points after 6 matches; LDU de Quito are 1st with 12. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Mirassol, last 5: LLDWD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Cruzeiro, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
LDU de Quito, last 5: LWWWD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Independiente del Valle, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (7 May 2026) it ended Mirassol 2–0 LDU de Quito. The last 2 head-to-heads: Mirassol 1 win, LDU de Quito 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.0 goals.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mirassol 1.5 xG, LDU de Quito 0.6 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mirassol 61%, draw 22%, LDU de Quito 17%.
Lower-risk option: Mirassol or draw (83%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mirassol 1–0 LDU de Quito. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mirassol61%fair 1.65 · @1.73
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @3.50
LDU de Quito17%fair 5.75 · @4.90
2.18Expected goals
1.53Mirassol xG
0.64LDU de Quito xG
48%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
2–013%
0–011%
1–111%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: Mirassol 1.5 – 0.6 LDU de Quito expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Mirassol vs LDU de Quito?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Mirassol vs LDU de Quito?
On our numbers Mirassol have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 22% and LDU de Quito 17%.
How many goals will there be in Mirassol vs LDU de Quito?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mirassol vs LDU de Quito?
Our predicted score is Mirassol 1–0 LDU de Quito, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Mirassol vs LDU de Quito?
Mirassol vs LDU de Quito (CONMEBOL Libertadores) kicks off on Thursday 13 August 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Cruzeiro1
Flamengo1