Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Palmeiras to win @ 1.80 – our chance 63% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultPalmeiras to win ✓63% · @1.80
Double chancePalmeiras or draw ✓85% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓19% · fair 5.34
Cerro Porteno vs Palmeiras: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
23:00 WAT, Wednesday 19 August: Cerro Porteno v Palmeiras in the CONMEBOL Libertadores, played at General Pablo Rojas. In the table, Cerro Porteno are 1st on 13 points after 6 matches; Palmeiras are 2nd with 11. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Cerro Porteno, last 5: WDLWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Club Sp. San Lorenzo, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Palmeiras, last 5: LDDLW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Fluminense, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (12 Aug 2026) it ended Palmeiras 1–1 Cerro Porteno. The last 3 head-to-heads: Cerro Porteno 1 win, Palmeiras 0, draws 2. Those games averaged 1.7 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cerro Porteno 0.6 xG, Palmeiras 1.5 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cerro Porteno 15%, draw 22%, Palmeiras 63%.
Lower-risk option: Palmeiras or draw (85%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.65.
Price worth noting: Palmeiras to win @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (81%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cerro Porteno 0–1 Palmeiras. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cerro Porteno15%fair 6.59 · @4.60
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.35
Palmeiras63%fair 1.59 · @1.80
2.11Expected goals
0.57Cerro Porteno xG
1.54Palmeiras xG
47%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–119%
0–214%
0–012%
1–111%
1–28%
0–37%
From our goals model: Cerro Porteno 0.6 – 1.5 Palmeiras expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Cerro Porteno vs Palmeiras?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Cerro Porteno vs Palmeiras?
On our numbers Cerro Porteno have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Palmeiras 63%.
How many goals will there be in Cerro Porteno vs Palmeiras?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cerro Porteno vs Palmeiras?
Our predicted score is Cerro Porteno 0–1 Palmeiras, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Cerro Porteno vs Palmeiras?
Cerro Porteno vs Palmeiras (CONMEBOL Libertadores) kicks off on Wednesday 19 August 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at General Pablo Rojas.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Deportes Tolima0
Independiente del Valle1
U. Catolica0
Estudiantes L.P.3
Coquimbo Unido0
Platense0