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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Flamengo v Cruzeiro: numbers & prediction

CONMEBOL Libertadores · South America · Estádio do Maracanã

Flamengo

WDWDD
2–1
FT

Cruzeiro

WDWWD
Flamengo 62%Draw 20%Cruzeiro 18% Expected goals 1.66 – 0.73
75%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.30Odds

Picks by market

ResultFlamengo to win ✓62% · @1.66
Double chanceFlamengo or draw ✓82% · @1.15
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.57

Flamengo vs Cruzeiro: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Flamengo welcome Cruzeiro to Estádio do Maracanã for a CONMEBOL Libertadores fixture on Thursday 20 August (01:30 WAT). In the table, Flamengo are 1st on 16 points after 6 matches; Cruzeiro are 2nd with 11.

Current form

Flamengo, last 5: WDWDD Their latest outing: 5–1 win over Mirassol, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.

Cruzeiro, last 5: WDWWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Corinthians, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (13 Aug 2026) it ended Cruzeiro 1–1 Flamengo. The last 2 head-to-heads: Flamengo 1 win, Cruzeiro 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Flamengo 1.7 xG, Cruzeiro 0.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 48%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Flamengo 62%, draw 20%, Cruzeiro 18%.
  • Lower-risk option: Flamengo or draw (82%) at 1.15.
  • GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Flamengo 1–0 Cruzeiro. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Flamengo62%fair 1.62 · @1.66
Draw20%fair 4.92 · @3.65
Cruzeiro18%fair 5.56 · @5.20
2.39Expected goals
1.66Flamengo xG
0.73Cruzeiro xG
48%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–07%

From our goals model: Flamengo 1.7 – 0.7 Cruzeiro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFlamengo to win ✓62%1.621.66
Double chanceFlamengo or draw ✓82%1.221.15
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗52%1.921.85
Draw no betFlamengo (draw no bet) ✓77%1.29–
Asian handicapCruzeiro +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.50–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.421.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗54%1.851.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75%1.331.30
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.141.11
First team to scoreFlamengo to score first ✓63%1.58–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.29–
Half-time / full-timeHT Flamengo / FT Flamengo ✓37%2.71–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15%6.57–

Recent results

Flamengo – last 6

WDWDDW
16 Aug@ Mirassol5–1W
13 Aug@ Cruzeiro1–1D
9 Augvs Vitoria2–0W
29 Jul@ Internacional1–1D
26 Julvs Sao Paulo1–1D
23 Jul@ Chapecoense-sc4–0W
2.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Cruzeiro – last 6

WDWWDW
16 Aug@ Corinthians2–1W
13 Augvs Flamengo1–1D
9 Augvs Mirassol3–1W
5 Augvs Chapecoense-sc2–0W
2 Aug@ Chapecoense-sc0–0D
31 Jul@ Coritiba1–0W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

13 Aug 2026Cruzeiro v Flamengo1–1
12 Mar 2026Flamengo v Cruzeiro2–0
Flamengo vs Cruzeiro head-to-head page →

CONMEBOL Libertadores table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Flamengo6510+1216
2Estudiantes L.P.6231+19
3Independiente Medellin6213-57
4Cusco6015-81

More CONMEBOL Libertadores predictions

League hub
FT LDU de Quito0 Mirassol0 Pens 5–4 161%1.55X22%3.65217%6.60 1.6–0.6xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 80%@1.22 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Flamengo vs Cruzeiro?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Flamengo vs Cruzeiro?

On our numbers Flamengo have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Cruzeiro 18%.

How many goals will there be in Flamengo vs Cruzeiro?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Flamengo vs Cruzeiro?

Our predicted score is Flamengo 1–0 Cruzeiro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Flamengo vs Cruzeiro?

Flamengo vs Cruzeiro (CONMEBOL Libertadores) kicks off on Thursday 20 August 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio do Maracanã.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.