LDU de Quito 61%Draw 22%Mirassol 17%Expected goals 1.56 – 0.64
80%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultLDU de Quito to win ✗61% · @1.55
Double chanceLDU de Quito or draw ✓83% · @1.10
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.78
LDU de Quito vs Mirassol: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
23:00 WAT, Thursday 20 August: LDU de Quito v Mirassol in the CONMEBOL Libertadores, played at Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado. In the table, LDU de Quito are 1st on 12 points after 6 matches; Mirassol are 2nd with 12. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
LDU de Quito, last 5: WDLWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Aucas, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Mirassol, last 5: LDLLD Their latest outing: 1–5 defeat to Flamengo, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours LDU de Quito, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.8 for Mirassol.
Head to head
When they last met (13 Aug 2026) it ended Mirassol 1–1 LDU de Quito. The last 3 head-to-heads: LDU de Quito 1 win, Mirassol 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give LDU de Quito 1.6 xG, Mirassol 0.6 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – LDU de Quito 61%, draw 22%, Mirassol 17%.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.60.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: LDU de Quito 1–0 Mirassol. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
LDU de Quito61%fair 1.63 · @1.55
Draw22%fair 4.55 · @3.65
Mirassol17%fair 5.95 · @6.60
2.20Expected goals
1.56LDU de Quito xG
0.64Mirassol xG
47%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
2–013%
0–011%
1–111%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: LDU de Quito 1.6 – 0.6 Mirassol expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for LDU de Quito vs Mirassol?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win LDU de Quito vs Mirassol?
On our numbers LDU de Quito have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Mirassol 17%.
How many goals will there be in LDU de Quito vs Mirassol?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for LDU de Quito vs Mirassol?
Our predicted score is LDU de Quito 1–0 Mirassol, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is LDU de Quito vs Mirassol?
LDU de Quito vs Mirassol (CONMEBOL Libertadores) kicks off on Thursday 20 August 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Flamengo2
Cruzeiro1