Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 2.15 – our chance 56% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultIFK Norrkoping to win ✗63% · @1.48
Double chanceIFK Norrkoping or draw ✓82% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.45
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.91
Vasalund vs IFK Norrkoping: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Vasalund welcome IFK Norrkoping for a Svenska Cupen fixture on Thursday 20 August (17:30 WAT).
Current form
Vasalund, last 5: DWDLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Piteå, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
IFK Norrkoping, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Sandviken, away. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours IFK Norrkoping, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.0 for Vasalund.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Vasalund 0.5 xG, IFK Norrkoping 1.4 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Vasalund 18%, draw 19%, IFK Norrkoping 63%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Under 2.5 goals @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.45 – longer than our fair 1.33, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vasalund 0–1 IFK Norrkoping. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Vasalund18%fair 5.47 · @5.60
Draw19%fair 5.27 · @4.00
IFK Norrkoping63%fair 1.59 · @1.48
1.98Expected goals
0.55Vasalund xG
1.43IFK Norrkoping xG
53%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–120%
0–214%
0–014%
1–111%
1–28%
1–08%
From our goals model: Vasalund 0.5 – 1.4 IFK Norrkoping expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
IFK Norrkoping to win✗
63%
1.59
1.48
Double chance
IFK Norrkoping or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
1.70
Draw no bet
IFK Norrkoping (draw no bet)
77%
1.29
–
Asian handicap
Vasalund +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
2.15 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.45 ▲
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.05
–
First team to score
IFK Norrkoping to score first
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT IFK Norrkoping / FT IFK Norrkoping✗
35%
2.84
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.91
–
Recent results
Vasalund – last 6
DWDLLD
16 Aug
@ Piteå
1–1
D
9 Aug
vs Stockholm Internazionale
2–0
W
3 Aug
vs Sollentuna
1–1
D
26 Jun
@ Assyriska FF
1–3
L
18 Jun
vs Karlberg
0–4
L
14 Jun
@ Enköping
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
IFK Norrkoping – last 6
WWWWWL
15 Aug
@ Sandviken
4–1
W
8 Aug
vs IK brage
3–0
W
1 Aug
vs Helsingborg
2–0
W
28 Jul
@ Landskrona BoIS
1–0
W
19 Jul
vs Sandviken
3–0
W
28 Jun
vs Norrby IF
0–1
L
2.2Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vasalund and IFK Norrkoping.
What is the prediction for Vasalund vs IFK Norrkoping?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Vasalund vs IFK Norrkoping?
On our numbers Vasalund have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 19% and IFK Norrkoping 63%.
How many goals will there be in Vasalund vs IFK Norrkoping?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vasalund vs IFK Norrkoping?
Our predicted score is Vasalund 0–1 IFK Norrkoping, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Vasalund vs IFK Norrkoping?
Vasalund vs IFK Norrkoping (Svenska Cupen) kicks off on Thursday 20 August 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Hässleholms IF0
Landskrona BoIS0
Arlanda1
Ostersunds FK2