Arlanda 13%Draw 23%Ostersunds FK 64%Expected goals 0.65 – 1.74
87%
Betarazi pick
Ostersunds FK or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Ostersunds FK to win @ 1.77 – our chance 64% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultOstersunds FK to win ✓64% · @1.77
Double chanceOstersunds FK or draw ✓87% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 11.12
Arlanda vs Ostersunds FK: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:30 WAT, Thursday 20 August: Arlanda v Ostersunds FK in the Svenska Cupen.
Current form
Arlanda, last 5: LDLWW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Stockholm Internazionale, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Ostersunds FK, last 5: DWWDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with IFK Varnamo, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Ostersunds FK, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.7 for Arlanda.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Arlanda 0.6 xG, Ostersunds FK 1.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Arlanda 13%, draw 23%, Ostersunds FK 64%.
Lower-risk option: Ostersunds FK or draw (87%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Ostersunds FK to win @1.77 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 64%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Ostersunds FK or draw (87%, odds 1.20 – longer than our fair 1.15, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Arlanda 0–1 Ostersunds FK. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Arlanda13%fair 7.52 · @4.10
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.45
Ostersunds FK64%fair 1.57 · @1.77
2.39Expected goals
0.65Arlanda xG
1.74Ostersunds FK xG
52%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–116%
0–214%
1–110%
0–09%
1–29%
0–38%
From our goals model: Arlanda 0.6 – 1.7 Ostersunds FK expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ostersunds FK to win✓
64%
1.57
1.77 ▲
Double chance
Ostersunds FK or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
1.67
Draw no bet
Ostersunds FK (draw no bet)✓
83%
1.21
–
Asian handicap
Ostersunds FK -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Ostersunds FK to score first
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
Ostersunds FK ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ostersunds FK / FT Ostersunds FK✗
40%
2.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
9%
11.12
–
Recent results
Arlanda – last 6
LDLWWW
16 Aug
@ Stockholm Internazionale
1–4
L
9 Aug
vs Piteå
0–0
D
3 Aug
@ Hammarby Talang
1–5
L
25 Jul
vs Haninge
6–1
W
27 Jun
vs IF Karlstad
1–0
W
23 Jun
@ Järfälla
2–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Ostersunds FK – last 6
DWWDWW
16 Aug
@ IFK Varnamo
1–1
D
7 Aug
vs GIF Sundsvall
1–0
W
1 Aug
vs Osters IF
1–0
W
26 Jul
@ Norrby IF
2–2
D
18 Jul
vs Landskrona BoIS
2–0
W
27 Jun
@ GIF Sundsvall
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Arlanda and Ostersunds FK.
What is the prediction for Arlanda vs Ostersunds FK?
Our pick is Ostersunds FK or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Arlanda vs Ostersunds FK?
On our numbers Arlanda have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Ostersunds FK 64%.
How many goals will there be in Arlanda vs Ostersunds FK?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arlanda vs Ostersunds FK?
Our predicted score is Arlanda 0–1 Ostersunds FK, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Arlanda vs Ostersunds FK?
Arlanda vs Ostersunds FK (Svenska Cupen) kicks off on Thursday 20 August 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Vasalund1
IFK Norrkoping1
Hässleholms IF0
Landskrona BoIS0