Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.55Odds
Picks by market
ResultThailand to win ✓55% · @1.45
Double chanceThailand or draw ✓80% · @1.09
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.35
Thailand vs Malaysia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:00 WAT, Saturday 1 August: Thailand v Malaysia in the ASEAN Championship, played at Rajamangala National Stadium.
Current form
Thailand, last 4: WDDW Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Laos, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Malaysia, last 3: WWL Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Laos, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Thailand 1.8 xG, Malaysia 1.2 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 60% for three or more goals, 61% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Thailand 55%, draw 25%, Malaysia 20%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (62%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Thailand 1–1 Malaysia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Thailand55%fair 1.81 · @1.45
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @4.50
Malaysia20%fair 4.97 · @5.40
3.03Expected goals
1.81Thailand xG
1.22Malaysia xG
61%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–110%
1–09%
2–08%
1–26%
0–16%
From our goals model: Thailand 1.8 – 1.2 Malaysia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Thailand to win✓
55%
1.81
1.45
Double chance
Thailand or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.09
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.63
1.65
Draw no bet
Thailand (draw no bet)✓
73%
1.36
–
Asian handicap
Malaysia +1 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.68
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.55
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.22
First team to score
Thailand to score first✓
57%
1.76
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.57
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Thailand / FT Thailand✓
32%
3.16
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.35
–
Recent results
Thailand – last 4
WDDW
25 Jul
@ Laos
5–0
W
9 Jun
@ China
0–0
D
5 Jun
vs Kuwait
2–2
D
31 Mar
vs Turkmenistan
2–1
W
2.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Malaysia – last 3
WWL
28 Jul
vs Laos
4–0
W
25 Jul
@ Myanmar
2–1
W
31 Mar
@ Vietnam
1–3
L
2.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Thailand and Malaysia.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Thailand vs Malaysia?
On our numbers Thailand have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Malaysia 20%.
How many goals will there be in Thailand vs Malaysia?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Thailand vs Malaysia?
Our predicted score is Thailand 1–1 Malaysia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Thailand vs Malaysia?
Thailand vs Malaysia (ASEAN Championship) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Rajamangala National Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Laos1
Philippines4