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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Laos v Philippines: numbers & prediction

ASEAN Championship · Asia · New Laos National Stadium

Laos

LLW
1–4
FT
Laos 11%Draw 18%Philippines 71% Expected goals 1.23 – 2.80
73%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.35 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.35Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.73 – our chance 62% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultPhilippines to win ✓71% · @1.20
Double chancePhilippines or draw ✓89% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.73
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓73% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.67

Laos vs Philippines: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 1 August the ASEAN Championship brings Laos against Philippines at New Laos National Stadium. Kick-off: 11:00 WAT.

Current form

Laos, last 3: LLW Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Malaysia, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.

Philippines, last 4: LWWD Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Myanmar, at home. The attack is flying at 3.0 goals per game.

Momentum favours Philippines, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for Laos.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Laos 1.2 xG, Philippines 2.8 xG – a total near 4.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 73% and GG at 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Laos 11%, draw 18%, Philippines 71%.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.73.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.73 – the bookmaker implies 58%, our ratings say 62%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (73%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Laos 1–2 Philippines. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Laos11%fair 8.99 · @12.00
Draw18%fair 5.56 · @5.75
Philippines71%fair 1.41 · @1.20
4.03Expected goals
1.23Laos xG
2.80Philippines xG
62%Both score
73%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–29%
1–38%
0–27%
0–37%
1–16%
1–46%

From our goals model: Laos 1.2 – 2.8 Philippines expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPhilippines to win ✓71%1.411.20
Double chancePhilippines or draw ✓89%1.131.01
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓62%1.621.73 ▲
Draw no betPhilippines (draw no bet) ✓86%1.16–
Asian handicapPhilippines -1 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓73%1.371.35
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓54%1.871.85
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗65%1.531.36
First team to scorePhilippines to score first ✗68%1.46–
Half-time resultPhilippines ahead at half-time ✗53%1.88–
Half-time / full-timeHT Philippines / FT Philippines ✗48%2.09–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.67–

Recent results

Laos – last 3

LLW
28 Jul@ Malaysia0–4L
25 Julvs Thailand0–5L
31 Mar@ Nepal1–0W
0.3Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Philippines – last 4

LWWD
28 Julvs Myanmar1–4L
9 Junvs Myanmar5–1W
3 Junvs Guam5–1W
31 Mar@ Tajikistan1–1D
3.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
75%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Laos and Philippines.

Laos vs Philippines head-to-head page →

More ASEAN Championship predictions

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Laos vs Philippines?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.

Who will win Laos vs Philippines?

On our numbers Laos have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Philippines 71%.

How many goals will there be in Laos vs Philippines?

We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Laos vs Philippines?

Our predicted score is Laos 1–2 Philippines, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.

When is Laos vs Philippines?

Laos vs Philippines (ASEAN Championship) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at New Laos National Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.