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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Mixco v UMECIT: numbers & prediction

Mixco

LLWWL
4–1
FT

UMECIT

LLDLD
Mixco 59%Draw 22%UMECIT 19% Expected goals 1.73 – 0.85
74%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultMixco to win ✓59% · @1.75
Double chanceMixco or draw ✓81% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.36

Mixco vs UMECIT: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

UMECIT travel to face Mixco on Thursday 20 August in the Concacaf Central American Cup – the ball rolls at 02:00 WAT.

Current form

Mixco, last 5: LLWWL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Cobán Imperial, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

UMECIT, last 5: LLDLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Sporting San Miguelito, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Momentum favours Mixco, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.3 for UMECIT.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Mixco 1.7 xG, UMECIT 0.9 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 59%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Mixco 59%, draw 22%, UMECIT 19%.
  • Lower-risk option: Mixco or draw (81%) at 1.17.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.67.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mixco 2–0 UMECIT. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Mixco59%fair 1.69 · @1.75
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @3.55
UMECIT19%fair 5.26 · @4.00
2.59Expected goals
1.73Mixco xG
0.85UMECIT xG
59%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%

From our goals model: Mixco 1.7 – 0.9 UMECIT expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMixco to win ✓59%1.691.75
Double chanceMixco or draw ✓81%1.231.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓59%1.701.67
Draw no betMixco (draw no bet) ✓76%1.32–
Asian handicapUMECIT +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗67%1.49–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.361.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓50%2.001.77
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗71%1.411.36
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗88%1.14–
First team to scoreMixco to score first ✓62%1.61–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.39–
Half-time / full-timeHT Mixco / FT Mixco ✓36%2.77–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.36–

Recent results

Mixco – last 6

LLWWLL
15 Aug@ Cobán Imperial2–3L
12 Aug@ Deportivo Saprissa0–3L
8 Augvs Marquense1–0W
1 Augvs Suchitepéquez2–0W
29 Jul@ CD Olimpia0–2L
25 Jul@ Municipal0–2L
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

UMECIT – last 6

LLDLDL
16 Augvs Sporting San Miguelito0–1L
14 Aug@ Alianza FC0–1L
9 Augvs CD Arabe Unido0–0D
6 Augvs CD Olimpia1–2L
2 Aug@ Tauro FC1–1D
30 Julvs Deportivo Saprissa1–2L
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Mixco and UMECIT.

Mixco vs UMECIT head-to-head page →

More Concacaf Central American Cup predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Mixco vs UMECIT?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Mixco vs UMECIT?

On our numbers Mixco have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 22% and UMECIT 19%.

How many goals will there be in Mixco vs UMECIT?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Mixco vs UMECIT?

Our predicted score is Mixco 2–0 UMECIT, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Mixco vs UMECIT?

Mixco vs UMECIT (Concacaf Central American Cup) kicks off on Thursday 20 August 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.