CD Marathon vs Alianza: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
02:00 WAT, Thursday 20 August: CD Marathon v Alianza in the Concacaf Central American Cup, played at Estadio Yankel Rosenthal.
Current form
CD Marathon, last 5: WWDWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Atlético Choloma, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Alianza, last 5: DLLWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Cacahuatique, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give CD Marathon 1.6 xG, Alianza 0.7 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – CD Marathon 62%, draw 20%, Alianza 18%.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 1.95.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: CD Marathon 1–0 Alianza. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
CD Marathon62%fair 1.62 · @1.62
Draw20%fair 4.88 · @3.50
Alianza18%fair 5.58 · @5.10
2.34Expected goals
1.64CD Marathon xG
0.71Alianza xG
50%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: CD Marathon 1.6 – 0.7 Alianza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
CD Marathon to win✗
62%
1.62
1.62
Double chance
CD Marathon or draw✗
82%
1.22
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
1.95
Draw no bet
CD Marathon (draw no bet)✗
77%
1.29
–
Asian handicap
Alianza +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.46
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
CD Marathon to score first✗
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT CD Marathon / FT CD Marathon✗
37%
2.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.00
–
Recent results
CD Marathon – last 6
WWDWDD
16 Aug
@ Atlético Choloma
1–0
W
14 Aug
@ Antigua GFC
3–0
W
8 Aug
@ Platense FC
1–1
D
4 Aug
vs Atletico Independiente
1–0
W
31 Jul
@ CS Herediano
0–0
D
22 May
vs CD Motagua
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Alianza – last 6
DLLWWW
16 Aug
vs Cacahuatique
0–0
D
12 Aug
@ Real Estelí
1–3
L
9 Aug
@ Inter
0–2
L
6 Aug
vs CS Herediano
1–0
W
30 Jul
vs Antigua GFC
2–1
W
26 Jul
@ Inca Aruba
3–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between CD Marathon and Alianza.
What is the prediction for CD Marathon vs Alianza?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win CD Marathon vs Alianza?
On our numbers CD Marathon have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Alianza 18%.
How many goals will there be in CD Marathon vs Alianza?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CD Marathon vs Alianza?
Our predicted score is CD Marathon 1–0 Alianza, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is CD Marathon vs Alianza?
CD Marathon vs Alianza (Concacaf Central American Cup) kicks off on Thursday 20 August 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Yankel Rosenthal.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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