HNK Gorica vs NK Osijek: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
HNK Gorica welcome NK Osijek to Gradski stadion Velika Gorica for a HNL fixture on Saturday 1 August (20:00 WAT). In the table, HNK Gorica are 10th, in the drop zone, on 7 points after 13 matches; NK Osijek are 3rd (among the top four) with 20. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
HNK Gorica, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Shakhtar Donetsk, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
NK Osijek, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Rizespor, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours NK Osijek, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for HNK Gorica.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give HNK Gorica 1.3 xG, NK Osijek 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – HNK Gorica 37%, draw 27%, NK Osijek 35%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.77.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: HNK Gorica 1–1 NK Osijek. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
HNK Gorica37%fair 2.68 · @2.46
Draw27%fair 3.65 · @2.90
NK Osijek35%fair 2.84 · @2.96
2.61Expected goals
1.27HNK Gorica xG
1.34NK Osijek xG
57%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–110%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: HNK Gorica 1.3 – 1.3 NK Osijek expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
HNK Gorica to win✗
37%
2.68
2.46
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.38
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.74
1.77
Draw no bet
HNK Gorica (draw no bet)✗
51%
1.94
–
Asian handicap
HNK Gorica +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
NK Osijek to score first✓
48%
2.10
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT NK Osijek / FT NK Osijek✓
22%
4.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.56
–
Recent results
HNK Gorica – last 6
LLWLWL
23 Jul
vs Shakhtar Donetsk
0–2
L
19 Jul
@ FC St. Pauli
1–2
L
16 Jul
vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
1–0
W
13 Jul
vs Göztepe
0–2
L
4 Jul
vs Zorya Luhansk
2–1
W
23 May
@ HNK Rijeka
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
NK Osijek – last 6
LWWLWL
25 Jul
vs Rizespor
1–3
L
22 Jul
vs HNK Cibalia
3–0
W
18 Jul
vs Budapest Honved
2–1
W
4 Jul
vs Paks
0–4
L
22 May
vs NK Slaven Belupo
2–0
W
10 May
vs Istra 1961
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between HNK Gorica and NK Osijek.
What is the prediction for HNK Gorica vs NK Osijek?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win HNK Gorica vs NK Osijek?
On our numbers HNK Gorica have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 27% and NK Osijek 35%.
How many goals will there be in HNK Gorica vs NK Osijek?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for HNK Gorica vs NK Osijek?
Our predicted score is HNK Gorica 1–1 NK Osijek, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is HNK Gorica vs NK Osijek?
HNK Gorica vs NK Osijek (HNL) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Gradski stadion Velika Gorica.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
