Istra 1961 vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb travel to face Istra 1961 on Saturday 1 August in the HNL, with Stadion Aldo Drosina the venue – the ball rolls at 17:30 WAT. In the table, Istra 1961 are 4th, among the top four, on 19 points after 13 matches; NK Lokomotiva Zagreb are 9th (in the drop zone) with 11.
Current form
Istra 1961, last 5: DWLDW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Lecce, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb, last 5: WDWDW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Sturm Graz II, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.
Momentum favours NK Lokomotiva Zagreb, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.8 for Istra 1961.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Istra 1961 1.6 xG, NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 1.1 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Istra 1961 46%, draw 26%, NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 28%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Istra 1961 1–1 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Istra 196146%fair 2.16 · @2.12
Draw26%fair 3.92 · @3.25
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb28%fair 3.56 · @3.25
2.65Expected goals
1.58Istra 1961 xG
1.07NK Lokomotiva Zagreb xG
57%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–09%
0–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Istra 1961 1.6 – 1.1 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Istra 1961 to win✗
46%
2.16
2.12
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.34
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.65
Draw no bet
Istra 1961 (draw no bet)✗
62%
1.61
–
Asian handicap
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb +1 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
50%
2.00
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Istra 1961 to score first
55%
1.81
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Istra 1961 / FT Istra 1961✗
30%
3.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.61
–
Recent results
Istra 1961 – last 6
DWLDWW
25 Jul
@ Lecce
2–2
D
17 Jul
vs Milton Keynes Dons
2–1
W
23 May
@ NK Varazdin
0–2
L
17 May
vs HNK Rijeka
0–0
D
10 May
@ NK Osijek
1–0
W
4 May
vs NK Slaven Belupo
3–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb – last 6
WDWDWW
25 Jul
vs Sturm Graz II
4–0
W
17 Jul
vs Karpaty
0–0
D
13 Jul
vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
3–1
W
10 Jul
vs FK Partizan
2–2
D
4 Jul
vs Bravo
3–1
W
1 Jul
vs Vllaznia Shkodër
2–1
W
2.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Istra 1961 and NK Lokomotiva Zagreb.
What is the prediction for Istra 1961 vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Istra 1961 vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb?
On our numbers Istra 1961 have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 26% and NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 28%.
How many goals will there be in Istra 1961 vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Istra 1961 vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb?
Our predicted score is Istra 1961 1–1 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Istra 1961 vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb?
Istra 1961 vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb (HNL) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Aldo Drosina.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
