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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

HNK Hajduk Split v Istra 1961: numbers & prediction

HNL · Croatia · Stadion Poljud
2–2
FT
HNK Hajduk Split 62%Draw 23%Istra 1961 15% Expected goals 2.14 – 1.06
80%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.80 – our chance 59% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultHNK Hajduk Split to win ✗62% · @1.39
Double chanceHNK Hajduk Split or draw ✓85% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.11

HNK Hajduk Split vs Istra 1961: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

HNK Hajduk Split welcome Istra 1961 to Stadion Poljud for a HNL fixture on Sunday 9 August (20:00 WAT). In the table, HNK Hajduk Split are 1st, leading the league, on 29 points after 13 matches; Istra 1961 are 4th (among the top four) with 19.

Current form

HNK Hajduk Split, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 5–2 win over FK Zalgiris Vilnius, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Istra 1961, last 5: LDWLD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to NK Lokomotiva Zagreb, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (7 Apr 2026) it ended Istra 1961 1–3 HNK Hajduk Split.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give HNK Hajduk Split 2.1 xG, Istra 1961 1.1 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 60% for three or more goals, 59% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – HNK Hajduk Split 62%, draw 23%, Istra 1961 15%.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.80.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 59%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: HNK Hajduk Split 2–1 Istra 1961. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

HNK Hajduk Split62%fair 1.61 · @1.39
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @4.40
Istra 196115%fair 6.56 · @7.00
3.20Expected goals
2.14HNK Hajduk Split xG
1.06Istra 1961 xG
59%Both score
60%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
2–09%
1–19%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%

From our goals model: HNK Hajduk Split 2.1 – 1.1 Istra 1961 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultHNK Hajduk Split to win ✗62%1.611.39
Double chanceHNK Hajduk Split or draw ✓85%1.181.05
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓59%1.681.80 ▲
Draw no betHNK Hajduk Split (draw no bet)80%1.25–
Asian handicapHNK Hajduk Split -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.61–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.241.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓60%1.671.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗62%1.611.45
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓78%1.28–
First team to scoreHNK Hajduk Split to score first64%1.56–
Half-time resultHNK Hajduk Split ahead at half-time ✗46%2.18–
Half-time / full-timeHT HNK Hajduk Split / FT HNK Hajduk Split ✗40%2.50–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.11–

Recent results

HNK Hajduk Split – last 6

WLLWLW
6 Aug@ FK Zalgiris Vilnius5–2W
2 Aug@ NK Varazdin1–2L
30 Jul@ Pafos0–2L
23 Julvs Pafos2–0W
16 Jul@ Žilina1–2L
9 Julvs Žilina2–0W
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Istra 1961 – last 6

LDWLDW
1 Augvs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb2–3L
25 Jul@ Lecce2–2D
17 Julvs Milton Keynes Dons2–1W
23 May@ NK Varazdin0–2L
17 Mayvs HNK Rijeka0–0D
10 May@ NK Osijek1–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

7 Apr 2026Istra 1961 v HNK Hajduk Split1–3
HNK Hajduk Split vs Istra 1961 head-to-head page →

HNL table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1HNK Hajduk Split13922+1629
2Dinamo Zagreb12813+1325
3NK Osijek13625+420
4Istra 196113544+519
5NK Varazdin13544+319
6HNK Rijeka12534+118
7NK Slaven Belupo13517-916
8Rudes13517-1116
9NK Lokomotiva Zagreb13328-711
10HNK Gorica13148-157

More HNL predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for HNK Hajduk Split vs Istra 1961?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win HNK Hajduk Split vs Istra 1961?

On our numbers HNK Hajduk Split have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Istra 1961 15%.

How many goals will there be in HNK Hajduk Split vs Istra 1961?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for HNK Hajduk Split vs Istra 1961?

Our predicted score is HNK Hajduk Split 2–1 Istra 1961, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is HNK Hajduk Split vs Istra 1961?

HNK Hajduk Split vs Istra 1961 (HNL) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Poljud.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.