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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

NK Slaven Belupo v NK Varazdin: numbers & prediction

HNL · Croatia · Gradski stadion Ivan Kušek Apaš
1–4
FT
NK Slaven Belupo 36%Draw 25%NK Varazdin 39% Expected goals 1.30 – 1.42
74%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultNK Varazdin to win ✓39% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.59

NK Slaven Belupo vs NK Varazdin: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

17:30 WAT, Sunday 9 August: NK Slaven Belupo v NK Varazdin in the HNL, played at Gradski stadion Ivan Kušek Apaš. In the table, NK Slaven Belupo are 7th, lower half, on 16 points after 13 matches; NK Varazdin are 5th (upper half) with 19. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

NK Slaven Belupo, last 5: LWDLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Dinamo Zagreb, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

NK Varazdin, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over HNK Hajduk Split, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours NK Varazdin, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.7 for NK Slaven Belupo.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give NK Slaven Belupo 1.3 xG, NK Varazdin 1.4 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 61%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – NK Slaven Belupo 36%, draw 25%, NK Varazdin 39%.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.65.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: NK Slaven Belupo 1–1 NK Varazdin. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

NK Slaven Belupo36%fair 2.80 · @2.45
Draw25%fair 4.02 · @3.35
NK Varazdin39%fair 2.54 · @2.62
2.72Expected goals
1.30NK Slaven Belupo xG
1.42NK Varazdin xG
61%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–09%
2–18%
0–27%

From our goals model: NK Slaven Belupo 1.3 – 1.4 NK Varazdin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNK Varazdin to win ✓39%2.542.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.331.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓61%1.641.65
Draw no betNK Varazdin (draw no bet) ✓52%1.91–
Asian handicapNK Slaven Belupo +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.341.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓51%1.961.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗70%1.421.33
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗86%1.16–
First team to scoreNK Varazdin to score first ✓49%2.05–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.38–
Half-time / full-timeHT NK Varazdin / FT NK Varazdin ✓23%4.29–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.59–

Recent results

NK Slaven Belupo – last 6

LWDLLL
31 Jul@ Dinamo Zagreb0–2L
25 Julvs Sesvete4–0W
21 Julvs Shakhtar Donetsk2–2D
16 Jul@ Paks3–5L
14 Julvs Sanfrecce Hiroshima1–3L
10 Julvs Debreceni VSC0–1L
1.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

NK Varazdin – last 6

WLWWWW
2 Augvs HNK Hajduk Split2–1W
30 Jul@ FK Jablonec0–2L
23 Julvs FK Jablonec3–2W
12 Jul@ Bihor Oradea3–1W
10 Jul@ Radomlje1–0W
4 Julvs CSKA 19481–0W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between NK Slaven Belupo and NK Varazdin.

NK Slaven Belupo vs NK Varazdin head-to-head page →

HNL table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1HNK Hajduk Split13922+1629
2Dinamo Zagreb12813+1325
3NK Osijek13625+420
4Istra 196113544+519
5NK Varazdin13544+319
6HNK Rijeka12534+118
7NK Slaven Belupo13517-916
8Rudes13517-1116
9NK Lokomotiva Zagreb13328-711
10HNK Gorica13148-157

More HNL predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for NK Slaven Belupo vs NK Varazdin?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win NK Slaven Belupo vs NK Varazdin?

On our numbers NK Slaven Belupo have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 25% and NK Varazdin 39%.

How many goals will there be in NK Slaven Belupo vs NK Varazdin?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for NK Slaven Belupo vs NK Varazdin?

Our predicted score is NK Slaven Belupo 1–1 NK Varazdin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is NK Slaven Belupo vs NK Varazdin?

NK Slaven Belupo vs NK Varazdin (HNL) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Gradski stadion Ivan Kušek Apaš.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.