Double chanceHNK Hajduk Split or draw ✓81% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓10% · fair 10.06
HNK Gorica vs HNK Hajduk Split: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
HNK Hajduk Split travel to face HNK Gorica on Sunday 16 August in the HNL, with Gradski stadion Velika Gorica the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT. In the table, HNK Gorica are 10th, in the drop zone, on 7 points after 13 matches; HNK Hajduk Split are 1st (leading the league) with 29. There are 22 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
HNK Gorica, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to NK Lokomotiva Zagreb, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
HNK Hajduk Split, last 5: WDWLL Their latest outing: 4–0 win over FK Zalgiris Vilnius, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.
Momentum favours HNK Hajduk Split, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.5 for HNK Gorica.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give HNK Gorica 1.0 xG, HNK Hajduk Split 1.9 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 54% for three or more goals, 60% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – HNK Gorica 19%, draw 23%, HNK Hajduk Split 58%.
Lower-risk option: HNK Hajduk Split or draw (81%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: HNK Gorica 1–1 HNK Hajduk Split. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
HNK Gorica19%fair 5.23 · @4.00
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.35
HNK Hajduk Split58%fair 1.74 · @1.84
2.98Expected goals
1.04HNK Gorica xG
1.94HNK Hajduk Split xG
60%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–210%
0–110%
0–210%
1–36%
0–36%
From our goals model: HNK Gorica 1.0 – 1.9 HNK Hajduk Split expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
HNK Hajduk Split to win✓
58%
1.74
1.84 ▲
Double chance
HNK Hajduk Split or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
1.70
Draw no bet
HNK Hajduk Split (draw no bet)✓
75%
1.33
–
Asian handicap
HNK Gorica +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
First team to score
HNK Hajduk Split to score first✓
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
HNK Hajduk Split ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT HNK Hajduk Split / FT HNK Hajduk Split✓
37%
2.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
10%
10.06
–
Recent results
HNK Gorica – last 6
LLLLWL
8 Aug
@ NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1–3
L
1 Aug
vs NK Osijek
0–2
L
23 Jul
vs Shakhtar Donetsk
0–2
L
19 Jul
@ FC St. Pauli
1–2
L
16 Jul
vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
1–0
W
13 Jul
vs Göztepe
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
HNK Hajduk Split – last 6
WDWLLW
13 Aug
vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius
4–0
W
9 Aug
vs Istra 1961
2–2
D
6 Aug
@ FK Zalgiris Vilnius
5–2
W
2 Aug
@ NK Varazdin
1–2
L
30 Jul
@ Pafos
0–2
L
23 Jul
vs Pafos
2–0
W
2.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between HNK Gorica and HNK Hajduk Split.
What is the prediction for HNK Gorica vs HNK Hajduk Split?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win HNK Gorica vs HNK Hajduk Split?
On our numbers HNK Gorica have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 23% and HNK Hajduk Split 58%.
How many goals will there be in HNK Gorica vs HNK Hajduk Split?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for HNK Gorica vs HNK Hajduk Split?
Our predicted score is HNK Gorica 1–1 HNK Hajduk Split, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is HNK Gorica vs HNK Hajduk Split?
HNK Gorica vs HNK Hajduk Split (HNL) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Gradski stadion Velika Gorica.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
