Value bet: NK Varazdin to win @ 3.40 – our chance 35% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultHNK Rijeka to win ✗42% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.36
NK Varazdin vs HNK Rijeka: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 16 August the HNL brings NK Varazdin against HNK Rijeka at Stadion Varteks. Kick-off: 17:30 WAT. In the table, NK Varazdin are 5th, upper half, on 19 points after 13 matches; HNK Rijeka are 6th (lower half) with 18. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
NK Varazdin, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over NK Slaven Belupo, away. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.
HNK Rijeka, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Ilves, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (22 Apr 2026) it ended NK Varazdin 1–0 HNK Rijeka.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give NK Varazdin 1.5 xG, HNK Rijeka 1.6 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 53% for three or more goals, 61% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – NK Varazdin 35%, draw 23%, HNK Rijeka 42%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: NK Varazdin to win @3.40 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: NK Varazdin 1–1 HNK Rijeka. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
NK Varazdin35%fair 2.88 · @3.40
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @3.05
HNK Rijeka42%fair 2.39 · @2.15
3.11Expected goals
1.47NK Varazdin xG
1.63HNK Rijeka xG
61%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: NK Varazdin 1.5 – 1.6 HNK Rijeka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for NK Varazdin vs HNK Rijeka?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win NK Varazdin vs HNK Rijeka?
On our numbers NK Varazdin have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 23% and HNK Rijeka 42%.
How many goals will there be in NK Varazdin vs HNK Rijeka?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for NK Varazdin vs HNK Rijeka?
Our predicted score is NK Varazdin 1–1 HNK Rijeka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is NK Varazdin vs HNK Rijeka?
NK Varazdin vs HNK Rijeka (HNL) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Varteks.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
