Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Istra 1961 to win @ 1.94 – our chance 63% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultIstra 1961 to win ✓63% · @1.94
Double chanceIstra 1961 or draw ✓85% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.31
Istra 1961 vs NK Slaven Belupo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Istra 1961 welcome NK Slaven Belupo to Stadion Aldo Drosina for a HNL fixture on Saturday 15 August (17:30 WAT). In the table, Istra 1961 are 4th, among the top four, on 19 points after 13 matches; NK Slaven Belupo are 7th (lower half) with 16. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Istra 1961, last 5: DLDWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with HNK Hajduk Split, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
NK Slaven Belupo, last 5: LLWDL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to NK Varazdin, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (4 May 2026) it ended Istra 1961 3–1 NK Slaven Belupo. The last 2 head-to-heads: Istra 1961 1 win, NK Slaven Belupo 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Istra 1961 2.3 xG, NK Slaven Belupo 1.1 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 60% and GG at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Istra 1961 63%, draw 23%, NK Slaven Belupo 15%.
Lower-risk option: Istra 1961 or draw (85%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.60.
Price worth noting: Istra 1961 to win @1.94 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Istra 1961 or draw (85%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.18, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Istra 1961 2–1 NK Slaven Belupo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Istra 196163%fair 1.60 · @1.94
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.40
NK Slaven Belupo15%fair 6.70 · @3.55
3.41Expected goals
2.31Istra 1961 xG
1.10NK Slaven Belupo xG
64%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
2–09%
1–18%
1–08%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Istra 1961 2.3 – 1.1 NK Slaven Belupo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Istra 1961 vs NK Slaven Belupo?
Our pick is Istra 1961 or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Istra 1961 vs NK Slaven Belupo?
On our numbers Istra 1961 have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and NK Slaven Belupo 15%.
How many goals will there be in Istra 1961 vs NK Slaven Belupo?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Istra 1961 vs NK Slaven Belupo?
Our predicted score is Istra 1961 2–1 NK Slaven Belupo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Istra 1961 vs NK Slaven Belupo?
Istra 1961 vs NK Slaven Belupo (HNL) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Aldo Drosina.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
