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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

NK Osijek v NK Lokomotiva Zagreb: numbers & prediction

HNL · Croatia · Opus Arena
1–0
FT
NK Osijek 59%Draw 23%NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 17% Expected goals 2.32 – 1.25
80%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.30 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.30Odds
1

Value bet: NK Osijek to win @ 1.94 – our chance 59% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultNK Osijek to win ✓59% · @1.94
Double chanceNK Osijek or draw ✓83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.56

NK Osijek vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

20:00 WAT, Saturday 15 August: NK Osijek v NK Lokomotiva Zagreb in the HNL, played at Opus Arena. In the table, NK Osijek are 3rd, among the top four, on 20 points after 13 matches; NK Lokomotiva Zagreb are 9th (in the drop zone) with 11.

Current form

NK Osijek, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 6–1 win over Rudes, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over HNK Gorica, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately.

Head to head

When they last met (21 Feb 2026) it ended NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 3–1 NK Osijek.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give NK Osijek 2.3 xG, NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 1.2 xG – a total near 3.6. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – NK Osijek 59%, draw 23%, NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 17%.
  • Lower-risk option: NK Osijek or draw (83%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.67.
  • Price worth noting: NK Osijek to win @1.94 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 59%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (80%, odds 1.30 – longer than our fair 1.26, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: NK Osijek 2–1 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

NK Osijek59%fair 1.69 · @1.94
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.20
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb17%fair 5.77 · @3.85
3.57Expected goals
2.32NK Osijek xG
1.25NK Lokomotiva Zagreb xG
61%Both score
59%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
1–18%
2–08%
3–17%
1–07%
2–26%

From our goals model: NK Osijek 2.3 – 1.2 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNK Osijek to win ✓59%1.691.94 ▲
Double chanceNK Osijek or draw ✓83%1.211.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗61%1.651.67
Draw no betNK Osijek (draw no bet) ✓77%1.29–
Asian handicapNK Osijek -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80%1.261.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗59%1.691.90 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓61%1.641.33
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓71%1.41–
First team to scoreNK Osijek to score first ✓63%1.58–
Half-time resultNK Osijek ahead at half-time ✗46%2.16–
Half-time / full-timeHT NK Osijek / FT NK Osijek ✗40%2.50–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.56–

Recent results

NK Osijek – last 6

WWLWWL
8 Aug@ Rudes6–1W
1 Aug@ HNK Gorica2–0W
25 Julvs Rizespor1–3L
22 Julvs HNK Cibalia3–0W
18 Julvs Budapest Honved2–1W
4 Julvs Paks0–4L
2.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb – last 6

WWWDWD
8 Augvs HNK Gorica3–1W
1 Aug@ Istra 19613–2W
25 Julvs Sturm Graz II4–0W
17 Julvs Karpaty0–0D
13 Julvs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi3–1W
10 Julvs FK Partizan2–2D
2.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

21 Feb 2026NK Lokomotiva Zagreb v NK Osijek3–1
NK Osijek vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb head-to-head page →

HNL table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1HNK Hajduk Split13922+1629
2Dinamo Zagreb12813+1325
3NK Osijek13625+420
4Istra 196113544+519
5NK Varazdin13544+319
6HNK Rijeka12534+118
7NK Slaven Belupo13517-916
8Rudes13517-1116
9NK Lokomotiva Zagreb13328-711
10HNK Gorica13148-157

More HNL predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for NK Osijek vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win NK Osijek vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb?

On our numbers NK Osijek have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 23% and NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 17%.

How many goals will there be in NK Osijek vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb?

We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for NK Osijek vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb?

Our predicted score is NK Osijek 2–1 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.

When is NK Osijek vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb?

NK Osijek vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb (HNL) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Opus Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.