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HNK Hajduk Split v NK Osijek: numbers & prediction

HNL · Croatia · Stadion Poljud
4–0
FT
HNK Hajduk Split 40%Draw 21%NK Osijek 39% Expected goals 1.69 – 1.64
65%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.70Odds
2

Value bet: NK Osijek to win @ 3.10 – our chance 39% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultHNK Hajduk Split to win ✓40% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.95

HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Osijek: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 23 August the HNL brings HNK Hajduk Split against NK Osijek at Stadion Poljud. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT. In the table, HNK Hajduk Split are 1st, leading the league, on 29 points after 13 matches; NK Osijek are 3rd (among the top four) with 20.

Current form

HNK Hajduk Split, last 5: DWWDW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Raków Częstochowa, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.7 a game lately.

NK Osijek, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over NK Lokomotiva Zagreb, at home. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours NK Osijek, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.8 for HNK Hajduk Split.

Head to head

When they last met (21 Apr 2026) it ended HNK Hajduk Split 0–1 NK Osijek. The last 2 head-to-heads: HNK Hajduk Split 1 win, NK Osijek 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 1.5 goals.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give HNK Hajduk Split 1.7 xG, NK Osijek 1.6 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 65% for three or more goals, 65% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – HNK Hajduk Split 40%, draw 21%, NK Osijek 39%.
  • GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.70.
  • Price worth noting: NK Osijek to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 39%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (65%, odds 1.70 – longer than our fair 1.54, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: HNK Hajduk Split 1–1 NK Osijek. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

HNK Hajduk Split40%fair 2.48 · @2.05
Draw21%fair 4.74 · @3.50
NK Osijek39%fair 2.59 · @3.10
3.33Expected goals
1.69HNK Hajduk Split xG
1.64NK Osijek xG
65%Both score
65%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
0–16%

From our goals model: HNK Hajduk Split 1.7 – 1.6 NK Osijek expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultHNK Hajduk Split to win ✓40%2.482.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗65%1.541.70 ▲
Draw no betHNK Hajduk Split (draw no bet) ✓51%1.95–
Asian handicapNK Osijek +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗61%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85%1.18–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓65%1.55–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗57%1.74–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓76%1.32–
First team to scoreHNK Hajduk Split to score first ✓49%2.05–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗37%2.68–
Half-time / full-timeHT HNK Hajduk Split / FT HNK Hajduk Split ✓24%4.24–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%11.95–

Recent results

HNK Hajduk Split – last 6

DWWDWL
20 Augvs Raków Częstochowa2–2D
16 Aug@ HNK Gorica2–1W
13 Augvs FK Zalgiris Vilnius4–0W
9 Augvs Istra 19612–2D
6 Aug@ FK Zalgiris Vilnius5–2W
2 Aug@ NK Varazdin1–2L
2.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

NK Osijek – last 6

WWWLWW
15 Augvs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb1–0W
8 Aug@ Rudes6–1W
1 Aug@ HNK Gorica2–0W
25 Julvs Rizespor1–3L
22 Julvs HNK Cibalia3–0W
18 Julvs Budapest Honved2–1W
2.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

21 Apr 2026HNK Hajduk Split v NK Osijek0–1
15 Feb 2026NK Osijek v HNK Hajduk Split0–2
HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Osijek head-to-head page →

HNL table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1HNK Hajduk Split13922+1629
2Dinamo Zagreb12813+1325
3NK Osijek13625+420
4Istra 196113544+519
5NK Varazdin13544+319
6HNK Rijeka12534+118
7NK Slaven Belupo13517-916
8Rudes13517-1116
9NK Lokomotiva Zagreb13328-711
10HNK Gorica13148-157

More HNL predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Osijek?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.

Who will win HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Osijek?

On our numbers HNK Hajduk Split have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 21% and NK Osijek 39%.

How many goals will there be in HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Osijek?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Osijek?

Our predicted score is HNK Hajduk Split 1–1 NK Osijek, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Osijek?

HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Osijek (HNL) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Poljud.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.