HNK Rijeka 65%Draw 21%Istra 1961 14%Expected goals 2.35 – 1.05
65%
Betarazi pick
HNK Rijeka to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.80 – our chance 60% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultHNK Rijeka to win ✓65% · @1.40
Double chanceHNK Rijeka or draw ✓86% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.80
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓66% · fair 1.51
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.33
HNK Rijeka vs Istra 1961: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
HNK Rijeka welcome Istra 1961 to Stadion HNK Rijeka for a HNL fixture on Sunday 23 August (17:30 WAT). In the table, HNK Rijeka are 6th, lower half, on 18 points after 12 matches; Istra 1961 are 4th (among the top four) with 19. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
HNK Rijeka, last 5: LLDWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to FC Midtjylland, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Istra 1961, last 5: WDLDW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over NK Slaven Belupo, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (17 May 2026) it ended Istra 1961 0–0 HNK Rijeka. The last 2 head-to-heads: HNK Rijeka 0 wins, Istra 1961 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 1.0 goals.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give HNK Rijeka 2.3 xG, Istra 1961 1.1 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 66% and GG at 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – HNK Rijeka 65%, draw 21%, Istra 1961 14%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was HNK Rijeka to win (65%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: HNK Rijeka 2–1 Istra 1961. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
HNK Rijeka65%fair 1.54 · @1.40
Draw21%fair 4.71 · @4.20
Istra 196114%fair 7.16 · @6.50
3.40Expected goals
2.35HNK Rijeka xG
1.05Istra 1961 xG
60%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
2–09%
1–18%
1–08%
3–18%
3–07%
From our goals model: HNK Rijeka 2.3 – 1.1 Istra 1961 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for HNK Rijeka vs Istra 1961?
Our pick is HNK Rijeka to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win HNK Rijeka vs Istra 1961?
On our numbers HNK Rijeka have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Istra 1961 14%.
How many goals will there be in HNK Rijeka vs Istra 1961?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for HNK Rijeka vs Istra 1961?
Our predicted score is HNK Rijeka 2–1 Istra 1961, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is HNK Rijeka vs Istra 1961?
HNK Rijeka vs Istra 1961 (HNL) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion HNK Rijeka.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
