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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

HNK Gorica v NK Slaven Belupo: numbers & prediction

HNL · Croatia · Gradski stadion Velika Gorica
3–5
FT
HNK Gorica 41%Draw 22%NK Slaven Belupo 38% Expected goals 1.43 – 1.36
68%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.36 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.36Odds
2

Value bet: NK Slaven Belupo to win @ 3.08 – our chance 38% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultHNK Gorica to win ✗41% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.27
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.59
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.72

HNK Gorica vs NK Slaven Belupo: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

NK Slaven Belupo travel to face HNK Gorica on Saturday 7 November in the HNL, with Gradski stadion Velika Gorica the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, HNK Gorica are 10th, in the drop zone, on 7 points after 13 matches; NK Slaven Belupo are 7th (lower half) with 16.

Current form

HNK Gorica, last 5: LDDLD Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to HNK Hajduk Split, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

NK Slaven Belupo, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Mladost Ždralovi, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (22 Aug 2026) it ended NK Slaven Belupo 2–0 HNK Gorica.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give HNK Gorica 1.4 xG, NK Slaven Belupo 1.4 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 63%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – HNK Gorica 41%, draw 22%, NK Slaven Belupo 38%.
  • GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.59.
  • Price worth noting: NK Slaven Belupo to win @3.08 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 38%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (68%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: HNK Gorica 1–1 NK Slaven Belupo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

HNK Gorica41%fair 2.46 · @2.15
Draw22%fair 4.63 · @3.38
NK Slaven Belupo38%fair 2.66 · @3.08
2.79Expected goals
1.43HNK Gorica xG
1.36NK Slaven Belupo xG
63%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–06%

From our goals model: HNK Gorica 1.4 – 1.4 NK Slaven Belupo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultHNK Gorica to win ✗41%2.462.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.281.27
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓63%1.591.59
Draw no betHNK Gorica (draw no bet) ✗52%1.92–
Asian handicapNK Slaven Belupo +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.311.19
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓53%1.871.73
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗68%1.471.36
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗83%1.201.10
First team to scoreHNK Gorica to score first48%2.08–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓41%2.42–
Half-time / full-timeHT HNK Gorica / FT HNK Gorica ✗23%4.40–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.72–

Recent results

HNK Gorica – last 6

LDDLDW
31 Oct@ HNK Hajduk Split0–5L
24 Octvs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb0–0D
17 Oct@ NK Osijek1–1D
9 Octvs Rudes1–2L
2 Octvs Bravo3–3D
19 Sep@ Istra 19611–0W
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

NK Slaven Belupo – last 6

LLWLWL
3 Nov@ Mladost Ždralovi0–2L
30 Octvs Istra 19610–2L
24 Oct@ NK Varazdin2–1W
18 Octvs Dinamo Zagreb1–5L
11 Octvs HNK Rijeka4–1W
1 Oct@ Olimpija Ljubljana1–2L
1.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Aug 2026NK Slaven Belupo v HNK Gorica2–0
HNK Gorica vs NK Slaven Belupo head-to-head page →

HNL table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1HNK Hajduk Split13922+1629
2Dinamo Zagreb12813+1325
3NK Osijek13625+420
4Istra 196113544+519
5NK Varazdin13544+319
6HNK Rijeka12534+118
7NK Slaven Belupo13517-916
8Rudes13517-1116
9NK Lokomotiva Zagreb13328-711
10HNK Gorica13148-157

More HNL predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for HNK Gorica vs NK Slaven Belupo?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win HNK Gorica vs NK Slaven Belupo?

On our numbers HNK Gorica have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 22% and NK Slaven Belupo 38%.

How many goals will there be in HNK Gorica vs NK Slaven Belupo?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for HNK Gorica vs NK Slaven Belupo?

Our predicted score is HNK Gorica 1–1 NK Slaven Belupo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is HNK Gorica vs NK Slaven Belupo?

HNK Gorica vs NK Slaven Belupo (HNL) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Gradski stadion Velika Gorica.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.