Value bet: HNK Rijeka to win @ 1.88 – our chance 57% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultHNK Rijeka to win ✗57% · @1.88
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.24
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.64
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.16
Istra 1961 vs HNK Rijeka: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 7 November the HNL brings Istra 1961 against HNK Rijeka at Stadion Aldo Drosina. Kick-off: 18:00 WAT. In the table, Istra 1961 are 4th, among the top four, on 19 points after 13 matches; HNK Rijeka are 6th (lower half) with 18. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Istra 1961, last 5: WWDLW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Neretva Metković, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
HNK Rijeka, last 5: DLWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with NK Varazdin, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Head to head
When they last met (23 Aug 2026) it ended HNK Rijeka 3–2 Istra 1961. The last 3 head-to-heads: Istra 1961 1 win, HNK Rijeka 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.3 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Istra 1961 1.1 xG, HNK Rijeka 1.9 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 55% and GG at 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Istra 1961 25%, draw 18%, HNK Rijeka 57%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.64.
Price worth noting: HNK Rijeka to win @1.88 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Istra 1961 1–1 HNK Rijeka. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Istra 196125%fair 3.97 · @3.62
Draw18%fair 5.71 · @3.62
HNK Rijeka57%fair 1.75 · @1.88
2.98Expected goals
1.12Istra 1961 xG
1.86HNK Rijeka xG
58%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–210%
0–19%
0–29%
1–36%
2–16%
From our goals model: Istra 1961 1.1 – 1.9 HNK Rijeka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Istra 1961 vs HNK Rijeka?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Istra 1961 vs HNK Rijeka?
On our numbers Istra 1961 have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 18% and HNK Rijeka 57%.
How many goals will there be in Istra 1961 vs HNK Rijeka?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Istra 1961 vs HNK Rijeka?
Our predicted score is Istra 1961 1–1 HNK Rijeka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Istra 1961 vs HNK Rijeka?
Istra 1961 vs HNK Rijeka (HNL) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Aldo Drosina.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
