Value bet: Alianza Atletico to win @ 3.65 – our chance 35% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +26%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultADT to win ✗44% · @1.98
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.50
ADT vs Alianza Atletico: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 15 August the Primera División brings ADT against Alianza Atletico. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, ADT are 16th, in the drop zone, on 12 points after 16 matches; Alianza Atletico are 7th (upper half) with 28. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
ADT, last 5: DLLLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with UTC Cajamarca, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Alianza Atletico, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Cienciano, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Alianza Atletico, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.7 for ADT.
Head to head
When they last met (27 Feb 2026) it ended Alianza Atletico 0–0 ADT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give ADT 1.4 xG, Alianza Atletico 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – ADT 44%, draw 22%, Alianza Atletico 35%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Alianza Atletico to win @3.65 – the bookmaker implies 27%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: ADT 1–1 Alianza Atletico. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
ADT44%fair 2.28 · @1.98
Draw22%fair 4.64 · @3.45
Alianza Atletico35%fair 2.89 · @3.65
2.58Expected goals
1.39ADT xG
1.19Alianza Atletico xG
56%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
1–27%
From our goals model: ADT 1.4 – 1.2 Alianza Atletico expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for ADT vs Alianza Atletico?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win ADT vs Alianza Atletico?
On our numbers ADT have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Alianza Atletico 35%.
How many goals will there be in ADT vs Alianza Atletico?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for ADT vs Alianza Atletico?
Our predicted score is ADT 1–1 Alianza Atletico, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is ADT vs Alianza Atletico?
ADT vs Alianza Atletico (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
