Club Deportivo Los Chankas v FBC Melgar Prediction & Expected Goals (15 Aug) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultFBC Melgar to win ✓44% · @2.28

Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.67

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.18

Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs FBC Melgar: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 15 August the Primera División brings Club Deportivo Los Chankas against FBC Melgar at Estadio Municipal Los Chankas. Kick-off: 21:30 WAT. In the table, Club Deportivo Los Chankas are 15th, lower half, on 14 points after 16 matches; FBC Melgar are 5th (upper half) with 29. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Club Deportivo Los Chankas, last 5: DWLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Sport Huancayo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

FBC Melgar, last 5: LDWWD Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to FC Cajamarca, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (27 Feb 2026) it ended FBC Melgar 1–2 Club Deportivo Los Chankas.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Club Deportivo Los Chankas 1.3 xG, FBC Melgar 1.5 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Club Deportivo Los Chankas 34%, draw 22%, FBC Melgar 44%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.67.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Club Deportivo Los Chankas 1–1 FBC Melgar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Club Deportivo Los Chankas34%fair 2.94 · @2.95

Draw22%fair 4.61 · @3.40

FBC Melgar44%fair 2.26 · @2.28

2.78Expected goals

1.28Club Deportivo Los Chankas xG

1.50FBC Melgar xG

58%Both score

52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%

0–19%

1–29%

1–08%

2–18%

0–27%

From our goals model: Club Deportivo Los Chankas 1.3 – 1.5 FBC Melgar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	FBC Melgar to win ✓	44%	2.26	2.28
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	78%	1.28	1.25
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	58%	1.73	1.67
Draw no bet	FBC Melgar (draw no bet) ✓	57%	1.77	–
Asian handicap	Club Deportivo Los Chankas +1 (Asian handicap) ✗	73%	1.36	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	75%	1.33	1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	52%	1.94	1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	70%	1.42	1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	85%	1.18	1.11
First team to score	FBC Melgar to score first ✓	51%	1.97	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	41%	2.41	–
Half-time / full-time	HT FBC Melgar / FT FBC Melgar ✓	25%	3.98	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	9%	11.18	–

Club Deportivo Los Chankas – last 6

DWLWLW

7 Aug	@ Sport Huancayo	1–1	D
31 Jul	vs Comerciantes Unidos	3–2	W
24 Jul	@ Alianza Atletico	1–3	L
19 Jul	vs Sport Boys	1–0	W
11 Jul	@ Sport Huancayo	1–3	L
28 Jun	vs Santos	3–0	W

1.7Scored / game

1.5Conceded / game

67%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

FBC Melgar – last 6

LDWWDL

9 Aug	vs FC Cajamarca	2–4	L
2 Aug	@ UCV Moquegua	0–0	D
26 Jul	vs Sporting Cristal	2–1	W
18 Jul	@ Cienciano	3–1	W
29 Jun	vs UCV Moquegua	0–0	D
12 Jun	@ Tacna Heroica	2–3	L

1.5Scored / game

1.5Conceded / game

67%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Alianza Lima	33	20	9	4	+30	69
2	Universitario	33	17	10	6	+20	61
3	FBC Melgar	33	16	9	8	+18	57
4	Deportivo Garcilaso	33	16	7	10	+15	55
5	Sporting Cristal	33	15	6	12	+15	51
6	Cusco	33	16	3	14	-1	51
7	Cienciano	33	15	5	13	+8	50
8	Sport Huancayo	33	15	5	13	-1	50
9	Alianza Atletico	33	14	7	12	+1	49
10	Club Deportivo Los Chankas	33	13	9	11	-12	48
11	Sport Boys	33	12	10	11	+2	46
12	Juan Pablo II College	33	11	8	14	-11	41
13	Comerciantes Unidos	33	8	13	12	-3	37
14	Atletico Grau	33	10	7	16	-9	37
15	ADT	33	7	11	15	-12	32
16	FC Cajamarca	33	8	7	18	-19	31
17	UCV Moquegua	33	7	9	17	-21	30
18	UTC Cajamarca	33	5	9	19	-20	19

Team

Pts

+30

+20

+18

+15

+15

-1

-1

Club Deportivo Los Chankas

-12

Sport Boys

Juan Pablo II College

-11

-3

-9

-12

-19

-21

-20

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs FBC Melgar?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs FBC Melgar?

On our numbers Club Deportivo Los Chankas have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 22% and FBC Melgar 44%.

How many goals will there be in Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs FBC Melgar?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs FBC Melgar?

Our predicted score is Club Deportivo Los Chankas 1–1 FBC Melgar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs FBC Melgar?

Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs FBC Melgar (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Los Chankas.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Club Deportivo Los Chankas v FBC Melgar: numbers & prediction